Intel Sources Claim China Plans Attack on Taiwan in 'Next Few Months'

[u/Ask4MD]

https://redstate.com/wardclark/2025/04/05/intel-sources-claim-china-plans-attack-on-taiwan-in-next-few-months-n2187536

[u/Sure-Wishbone-4293]

Bear in mind that this final scenario would be, no doubt, the start of a third world war. This scenario isn't just an attack on a nation friendly to the United States. This scenario posits attacks by Chinese forces directly on American bases in the Pacific, and indirect attacks on our homeland. This would result in a declaration of war by Congress, the first since 1941; any other outcome is impossible to contemplate. It would result in the full mobilization of the American economy to a war footing. But much of our industrial base is gone. We aren't the manufacturing powerhouse we were in 1941, and we wouldn't have the luxury of time that we had in 1941.

[u/newcolours → u/Sure-Wishbone-4293]

China also seems to be planning with this in mind. They have an enormous amount of shoddily produced military ships. Its clear to most analysts they will just aim to overwhelm western navies by just throwing ships at them en mass and not caring about losses.

We also have some truly corrupt leadership in some countries, like starmer in the UK whose policies are more like chinese policies than what western nations should look like. i would be very worried about them refusing aid, if not just openly siding with China. The only thing that might force the UK in particular into action is if china also attacks indian forces

[u/specter491 → u/newcolours]

The overwhelming numbers strategy hasn't worked so well in Ukraine. And we've seen that Ukraine can dominate the black sea with a couple $100k sea drones. The US can do the same or better.

[u/newcolours → u/specter491]

The issue for the US will be the same as for Russia. If 6 crappy chinese warships are sunk taking out one US carrier, it barely registers for China but is a significant loss for the US

[u/Anti_Wake → u/specter491]

Either way, it’s probably best to not underestimate any potential threat. We should assume overwhelming numbers would put us at serious risk and prepare accordingly.

[u/Vessarionovich]

Hard to imagine scenario 3 - the doomsday option - being employed. The Chinese are innately cautious. They might indeed end up utilizing all the weapons at their disposal covered in the article....but only in the event of a US military response. I can't imagine them surprise attacking US assets in Asia and Japan as part of the invasion scenario.

Scenario 1 - blockade of Taiwan - allows the Chinese the luxury of de-escalating and compelling some sort of diplomatic fate accompli....but should the West show resolve, it might not result in actual re-unification.

Scenario 2 would be the done deal that the Chinese want, but could quickly devolve into WW3 if the US decides to take a stand.

One thing is certain.....a storm is coming. The Chinese know it. Do we?

[u/specter491]

they believe an attempt by China to do just that is no less than six months away.

So at least 6 months away? Their quote doesn't make sense. And this is a news article quoting a news article. So just information coming through the grape vine. Seems like a nothing burger to me.

[u/Beautiful_Crow4049]

I don't know about that. Considering how many investments China has in various countries which trade with Taiwan, an attack could lead to China's economic suicide. That would be incredibly moronic considering how much China managed to evolve in the last 20 years.

[u/jasommer14]

Not sure if China really wants to do this now

[u/newcolours → u/jasommer14]

I sure hope not, since it practically guarantees a world war. 

Unfortunately there have been lots of direct threats not only posturing. Plus promises to the people of china. The danger is elites in power have taken stupider moves to save face before.

[u/Sangmund_Froid → u/newcolours]

I'm mildly concerned only because of the massive loss of life worldwide should the unthinkable happen and WW3 is kicked off...But the US is in a strong position and has been very capable and still will be.

I don't think China is foolish enough to do something as brash as what is being suggested. Taiwan is a boogeyman that is thrown around a lot to put the fear of the Chinese into other nations.

China has decided that their conquering method is cultural and economical. The western world is seeing the effect of that now.

• The continued push of immigration of non-ideologically compatible individuals into western countries.
  
• Buying up real estate and businesses worldwide.
  
• Economically boosting third world strategic points.
  
• Incentivizing disruptor nations like Russia to make stupid moves (Ukraine).

End of the day China doesn't want a war with the US, it will just keep digging it's oily tendrils into our cultural and economic base until, at some point in the future, there is a China-US combined empire. It will never be put out into the clear open, but it'll be there.

China knows that it needs Capitalism. The great communist experiment they conducted there failed miserably, but they found a loophole. If they have small subsets of China that are Capitalist and keep the rest of the nation communist..they effectively create a two tiered society (and the golden ticket of democrats goals) "For the good of all" slave in all but name peasants and the elite Capitalist Chinese in central cities.

That goal is what is planned by their deepest think tanks. They want the U.S. and China to be one empire, with the elite enjoying all the freedoms of the U.S. style of governance...while the vast majority of the populations exist in the communist slave pens.

Long story short, I don't think China will do anything to truly provoke the United States, the Western world right now is teetering on a knife edge...they don't need to do anything but gently push.

We can only hope that the U.S. will once again pull itself from the fire.

But hell, I could be wrong. I didn't think Putin would be stupid enough to show his hand and attack Ukraine...but he did. So what can you do.

[u/OP_GothicSerpent → u/jasommer14]

Not sure if China really wants to do this now

From the Beijing regimes perspective, they have no political choice. Their economy is dealing with bubbles and rampant corruption, and Trump/GOP/DOGE are shutting the door on pro-Chinese policies and investments , legal and otherwise.

If Xi Jinping doesn’t distract his subjects with a war- quickly- he’ll be the one on the street.

[u/jasommer14 → u/OP_GothicSerpent]

I had not looked at it that way, interesting take.

[u/Nianque]

If China doesn't act in April, they won't be able to act again until October. They have a small window for an amphibious assault, this headline is bullshit.

[u/Dutchtdk → u/Nianque]

Why is that?

[u/Nianque → u/Dutchtdk]

It had to do with the tides around the island. Thanks to how the tides work there, invading anytime other than April or October would add unnecessary difficulty to the invasion. Thus if China has an once of intelligence, there's only two times of year to actually invade Taiwan.

[u/Dutchtdk → u/Nianque]

Just looked it up, the weather changes significantly starting in june, which makes the seas rougher, visibility becomes reduced, and the monsoon winds even make the crossing more costly in terms of fuel used.

But most importantly, the crossing takes more time.

Never knew that. Thanks for the random info internet stranger

[u/onemanmelee]

I wish I had the money to be a proper doomsday prepper, cus shit's getting tense on Earth these days. I'd love a fully stocked bunker in the mountains somewhere.

[u/reaper527]

did they not get the message that biden isn't president anymore? they're not going to like the FO part of this FAFO experiment.

[u/I-need-more-vodka-]

On 4 March, the administration of US President Donald Trump imposed a set of tariffs on the PRC, which Washington billed as incentives for Beijing to return to what Washington defines as equitable and fair trade. This prompted the PRC ambassador to make the semi-ambiguous threat that his country was prepared for any “type of war” with the US.

[u/I-need-more-vodka- → u/I-need-more-vodka-]

Not trying to downplay the tension between Bejing and DC right now but taking a vague threat of an ambassador like this for a headline is strange to say the least

[u/Sure-Wishbone-4293]

I don’t think so, China is communist, not dumb! They will attack during a democrat President, not a Republican. We shall see!

[u/ultrainstict → u/Sure-Wishbone-4293]

Youre right, they eroded our industrial base into the ground while expanding their own. We arent in any position to mobalize industry like we did in ww2. This has been talked about in length by countles politicians and presidents over the last 30 years but none have been willing to do it, for the reasons you see now that trump has started.

[u/Kahnspiracy]

Original article:

https://www.19fortyfive.com/2025/04/china-will-launch-an-invasion-of-taiwan-in-next-few-months-intel-sources/

[u/zVitiate]

Just blow up the fabs, take the talent, and let’s call this whole thing off. I’m really not looking forward to AI-enhanced Chinese drones just so my iPhone can last two days on battery life scrolling thru social media all day or whatever assuming the fabs don’t get blown up anyways. Not worth it!