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u/More-Needleworker-93 1d ago
Americans probably be like: Our Number bigger, We better š¦ šŗšøšø
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u/My_leg_still_hurt92 1d ago
US stuff get cheaper to import and EU stuff more expensive to export
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u/nameproposalssuck 19h ago
The tariffs pretty much every country will impose to retaliate the Trump tariffs will be much higher than the ~5% devaluated USD...
If you want to export your goods and service, imposing ridiculous tariffs on the rest of the world (excluding Russia & Belarus) is not a winning strategy.
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u/Cristopia 7h ago
My economics teacher told me it's vice versa, if you have a weaker currency than many others, your exported products will actually be more attractive, since they're cheaper. But, with the tariffs, this concept is annuled, and, since imports are in turn more expensive, it's even more difficult for americans to buy cheaper products.
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u/GamerlingJvR 1d ago
And the American ppl will lose Things now and the elon musks can buy it for cheap and own everything. It's a Win win win.
Oh... wait...
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u/newnet07 1d ago
American here - this seems to be the concept people everywhere do not understand. The Great Depression was made worse because of the tarriffs that countries enacted in attempt to backstop their own domestic economies amidst a slow down. When a country devalues its currency, their populace loses purchasing power. This thereby hurts manufacturers dependent on a significant source of income from consumers in that country, creating a negative feedback loop.
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u/Boggl3r 1d ago
But I don't wanna buy anything "Made in USA" anymore ...
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u/Primrose_Polaris 1d ago
A lot of other (smaller) countries in the world de facto use USD as their main currency as well, so products from those countries will be cheaper for us, too.
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u/My_leg_still_hurt92 1d ago
Our products will be more expensive for them.
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u/aesibri 1d ago
Ecuador
El Salvador
Panama
Zimbabwe
Micronesia (Federated States of Micronesia)
Palau
Marshall Islands
East Timor (Timor-Leste)
Etc
Oh no how will we survive without exports to El Salvador.
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u/Glad-Belt7956 1d ago
You're right, but mom said we can have a little selfishness as a treat.
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u/ConspicuousPineapple 1d ago
That's not selfishness though. They will buy less of our products, which hurts us as well.
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u/superschmunk 1d ago
Yeah. I canceled my west coast trip in September. I donāt want to support this shit show.
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u/Open_Bait 1d ago
I never wanted tho. The very best "made in USA" things are made in taiwan and china anyway
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u/cakedayonthe29th Germany 1d ago
That's actually bad for our exports...
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u/Fleeting_Dopamine 1d ago
The US will become another China for us. We can buy our cheap electronics there. They want to move to an extraction and simple manufacturing economy, like China used to be :)
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u/LastRedshirt 1d ago
And yet, there are other countries ...
Ranking of Germany's trading partners in Foreign Trade
Year 2024 *|| || |Rank|Exports|Ā | |Ā |Ā |Ā | |Ā |Country of destination|in 1 000 Euro| |Ā |Ā |Ā | |001|United States|161 433 895| |002|France|115 411 718| |003|Netherlands|109 239 213| |004|Poland|92 920 521| |005|China|89 947 449| |006|United Kingdom|80 302 755| |007|Italy|80 240 730| |008|Austria|76 315 849| |009|Switzerland|68 015 423| |010|Belgium|58 498 452| |011|Spain|53 632 096|
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u/Ashamed-Print1987 1d ago
That's the neat part: we won't be exporting. I'm kidding, it's not neat, but ultimately what it is :(.
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u/Spaghetticator 1d ago
I'm really sick of hearing this non-logic. What is the point of exporting if you don't earn anything from it. The only way to get materially rich is to earn in a strong currency and exchange it for goods. Working for worthless paper is a slave's game.
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u/cakedayonthe29th Germany 1d ago
Exporting is a big deal for the EU because it boosts the economy and creates jobs. When EU countries export goods, they earn foreign currency, which helps buy imports and keeps the economy stable. Plus, exports often lead to a trade surplus, adding to the EU's overall wealth. Accessing larger markets through exports drives innovation and makes businesses more competitive. It also diversifies the economy, reducing risks from domestic market fluctuations. Moreover, strong exports support the Euro's value, making imports cheaper and enhancing purchasing power. Overall, exporting strengthens the EU's global influence and technological edge, contributing to a robust and resilient economy.
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u/Spaghetticator 1d ago
if it's all about (lower class) jobs you're just abusing monetary policy to achieve wealth distribution. I mean I understand the attraction to some people: neoliberals love having their cake (pretending to do pure capitalism) and eating it too (the stability of a supported lower class), but it's hypocrite AF to do all that while pretending to abhor socialism which would just cut out the unnecessary steps from the process.
A strong currency boosts investment-based industries by pulling in yield chasing foreign wealth, by the way, so you just get less of that for every job you save by stimulating exports. Again this is a matter of distribution - who wins, who loses in society - and people prefer to hand it to the lower classes employed in exporting traditional industries over handing it to the entrepreneurs and educated people in domestic investment. Socialism focuses on this tension directly but its not "allowed", so we abuse currency exchange rates for it...
In the longer run that investment can even lead to new export industries, so you're doubly decapitating your toes by foregoing it.
"Moreover, strong exports support the Euro's value" - and here you're just getting contradictory. Weaken the Euro to strengthen the Euro and enhance purchasing power... Exports on their own might achieve this but not exports stimulated by a weaker Euro.
Honestly most people fall for this export stimulus logic because they're terrified of change. When a currency strengthens, domestic employment and income shifts between industries and classes. However this is nothing to fear on the face of it and not a reason to sacrifice a currency (and the wealth of a nation) for.
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u/joca_the_second 1d ago
Look up Dutch Disease.
The causes were different and domestic but it led to the same issue of raising the value of the currency. So we can guess what the consequences of what a too strong a currency can have in an economy.
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u/Cylian91460 1d ago
How? Why?
You need to explain bud
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u/Snicker10101 1d ago edited 1d ago
He is right, usually a stronger currency is better for imports and a weaker one for exports. A stronger currency makes imported goods cheaper, a weaker currency makes a country's exports more competitive by lowering their price in foreign markets
A strong currency is very good cause: attracts Investment, we get higher purchasing power and it lowers inflation
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u/kitnex 1d ago
And it forces companies to keep investing into better products and services to stay competitive instead of simply relying on cheap exchange rates. Thatās what Germany did in the decades up to the Euro and Switzerland is still (very successfully) doing. Sudden jumps are tough, but a continuous and slow appreciation of the currency can lead to a very prosperous populace.
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u/ChampionshipSalty333 1d ago
Hate to be pedantic about this but people get this wrong all the time. What impacts trade is the 'real' exchange rate and what you can see above is the nominal exchange rate. Without knowing about Price levels, the nominal exchange rate doesn't tell us anything about competitivness
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u/user7532 1d ago
How does strong currency attract investment? I can imagine the outlook of a rising exchange rate attracting investment, but it seems to me that an increase in the exchange rate would discourage foreign investment as the purchasing power is lower for foreigns.
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u/Equivalent-Garlic-88 1d ago
Those exports aren't gonna be worth shit if the rest of the world is boycotting your shitty products.Ā
If Trump wants isolationism for the USA, the world will happily give it to him.Ā
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u/Lotan_Firemane 1d ago
If you really want to annoy Americans, put a zero at the end of that. It doesn't change it for the Europeans trying to read it, but will mess with Americans. Source - I'm American who likes chaos.
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u/Familiar-Scholar-595 1d ago
1 chf is worth 1.18 usd
1chf is worth 1.06 euro
we are better lol.
(this is so fucking horrible. all three were once worth around the same amount š plus we are hit with higher tarriffs)
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u/W1NGM4N13 1d ago edited 1d ago
I remember when 1 euro was 1.5 chf lol.
I don't think the tariffs will matter to us since our biggest export to the USA is pharmaceuticals which have very inelastic demand. Almost everything else we export are luxury goods like watches and I don't think its going to matter that the 100k rolex is now 131k.
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u/ConspicuousPineapple 1d ago
You're right about demand, but what about competition?
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u/FantasticUserman 1d ago
Have you seen the fucking market?
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u/BelgianWaffleWizard 1d ago
Yea, I just bought vegetables and a fried chicken at the market. Looked great.
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u/Jericho5589 1d ago
Hi guys, I'm American. Can I come live with you guys for awhile. Things are going not v good over here and voting doesn't seem to be doing anything for me
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u/Ham_Drengen_Der 1d ago
I really wish i shorted Tesla stock 4 months ago
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u/ChaosKeeshond 1d ago
I did, and was so happy when I got out... until the stock crashed even lower than I could have ever imagined it would after I closed my position.
I'm still kicking myself.
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u/ChadiusTheMighty 1d ago
Man and imagine you had bought bitcoin in 2011. Or in 2016. Or in 2020 when you told yourself you really should buy some
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u/jonydevidson 1d ago
That's a mindset that'll get you to 0 quicker than you think.
Set your personal goal and don't look past it. You couldn't have predicted it going lower.
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u/LadyofmyCats 20h ago
I unironically belief the Euro is becomming the next international reserve currency.
China does a lot, to stop their currency from becoming it and the euro is already the one in a lot of countries. And the dollarā¦
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u/butwhywedothis 1d ago
Make EUR the new global currency.
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u/El_Chara 1d ago
It actually deserves to be a global currency way more it's literally made to encourage trading across nations
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u/My_leg_still_hurt92 1d ago
A strong Euro make products exported to the US more expensive, stuff exported from the US to EU cheaper.
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u/brunckle 1d ago
We are so back! Let's go to the states, get held up by ICE and the TSA in customs, and get deported to El Salvador š š»šš»
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u/thatonetallkid4444 1d ago
The euro has almost always been worth more than the dollar except between December 1999 and December of 2002. It also peaked at US$1.60 in 2008. So this isn't anything new.
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u/Puzzled-Parsley-1863 1d ago
europe back on the world stage? what continent will they scramble for this time?
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u/SchemeShoddy4528 1d ago
worst part about living in the US is you're rent free in everyones heads CONSTANTLY, everyone speaks your language and talks about you non stop and constantly compares them selves to you.
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u/Dependent-Head-8307 1d ago
10% tarifs turn into 10% devaluation if the dollar. Which means that tariffs became an extra tax for the Americans.
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u/SolarFlare0119 1d ago
Living in Germany for the last five years I donāt remember the dollar ever being worth more than the euro. In fact I feel like it jumped around a lot.
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u/Karpfador 1d ago
Yet we still get prices that are 1:1 for everything, ripping us off with games for example
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u/Big_Pair_75 1d ago
Itāll be funny when their economy collapses to the point that it will be cheaper to buy certain (strictly necessary) American goods than before the tariffs started.
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u/Pyrrus_1 1d ago
Afaik there has been a rally effect around the euro due to tariffs, which Is good, but historically afaik the euro has Always been slightly higher than the dollar.
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u/IT_Nerd_Forever 1d ago
That looks good on first sight, only. It's good for America's exports on first sight, but imports for America will become even more expensive. American companies who need goods and ressources from other countries, will have to pay more. This means prices will rise. Products which are bound to $ (oil) will become more expensive, too.
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u/poundofcake 1d ago
My upcoming trip to the US has been made that much more affordable.
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u/El_Chara 1d ago
Good luck, hope el salvador goes well for ya (genuinely just don't go there it's a very bad idea)
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u/herrelektronik 1d ago
Trump wants to devaluate the dolar.