r/MapsWithoutNZ • u/clockworkworks • 3d ago

Fertility rate is too low in NZ

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58 Upvotes

97% Upvoted

6 comments sorted by

0

u/Pure_Nectarine2562 1d ago

“Fertility rates are declining everywhere” so the entirety of the African continent, Central Asia and South Asia are… nowhere?

-22

u/Solid-Quantity8178 3d ago

india and china have 3.5 billion people. That would make this map questionable

15

u/KatoriRudo23 3d ago edited 2d ago

You know birth rate decline doesn't mean population will drop suddenly and no one, absolutely no one, want to give birth, right? That's why it's called birth "rate", people still giving birth, just the rate is decline year after year.

To make it easier for you to understand, birth rate decline mean the number of people giving birth this year is lower than last year. For example, in 2024, China has a birth rate at 5.6%, meaning 6.39 births per 1,000, lower than 2023. In contrast, the mortality rate was 7.87 per 1,000 people.
In 2023, China has population of 1,422,584,933 people, in 2024, they have 1,419,321,278, a 0.23% drop. They still have a billion people, but if the rate continue like this by 50 years, they will have maybe about 1,264,967,374, seem like it still big right? But they lose the entire population equal to the whole Mexico. So don't just see the big number and think "oh they still have a billions, they will be fine"

3

u/canadianseaman 2d ago

Yep, the big number already has that rate priced in. Sorry so say it, but all our countries are fucked by 2050.

3

u/nogaesallowed 2d ago

i promise you noone is having children in China. India maybe still birthing.

1

u/Your_nightmare__ 2d ago

From my understanding south korea has a birth rate of 0.7/0.6 (lowesf birth rate) and china is roughly 5 to 10 years just behind that curve.