r/Oscars • u/The_Walking_Clem • 8d ago
Fun Which winning actor from this decade do you think is going to win again and who do you think that has no chances??
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u/FuturePublic4980 8d ago
Easy (A)nswer: Emma Stone
The one I'm rooting to happen: Daniel Kaluuya
No Chance: RDJ, man will live in Marvel hell for the rest of his life.
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u/MexaMacho9 8d ago
Sadly, I don’t see Ke Huy Quan winning again
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u/FuturePublic4980 8d ago
Very true… I don’t wanna get banned but Brendan Fraser is also another one. obviously rooting for him but idk if he’ll have such a role again. Most performers go their entire lives without a role like that.
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u/EconomyGrade2525 8d ago
If I’m being honest I don’t think anyone of the 2023 winners will win an Oscar again.
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u/ZacharyLewis97 7d ago
Listen, he’s got a movie coming out this year where he plays Eisenhower during the planning of D-Day.
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u/FuturePublic4980 7d ago
Oh shit. See I will say I’m not as in the know as others about futures releases. That has Oscar campaign money written all over it.
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u/MulberryEastern5010 7d ago
I also picked Brendan Fraser to not win again for similar reasons, so if you get banned, then so will I
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u/shomeyomves 7d ago
lol, “marvel hell”
The dude can ask for half a billion dollars to be in 3-4 scenes of a marvel movie and not even show his face
Guy is beyond oscars for any sort of self-validation
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u/UnionBlueinaDesert 8d ago
Best Actor - I think Cillian or Brody could easily win again in a decade with the right role. I think Fraser is one and done and Smith would genuinely need a miracle. Unfortunately, I don't think Anthony Hopkins will win again. But it's incredible that he won for the second time at a whopping 83 years old, I think both of his wins are going to continue to age really well.
Best Actress - I think Stone and Madison have the best chances of winning again, they're both fairly young to have won once (or even twice), and Emma especially seems to choose interesting roles. We'll have to wait and see what Mikey does. I think Chastain has her win, Frances McDormand would be tied for the most acting Oscar wins of all time if she won again and I strongly doubt that, and I think Michelle Yeoh likely has her one solid win. It's possible she'll win again in Supporting but I'm doubtful.
Best Supporting Actor - I think everyone but Kaluuya is done. They got their one well deserved Oscar and haven't seemed interested in going near a critical role since then. But Daniel Kaluuya, if he keeps getting some good roles, could eventually get another win in coming years.
Best Supporting Actress - This is the only category where I'm really doubtful that anyone will ever win again. The wins either aren't aging too well or the actresses just haven't gotten great work since their victory. Could be a wild card?
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u/coltsmetsfan614 8d ago
Frances McDormand would be tied for the most acting Oscar wins of all time if she won again and I strongly doubt that
They said she wouldn't win a third because only Hepburn had ever won three Best Actress Oscars, but it didn't matter! Hell, give McDormand her first Supporting win for playing some crazy family matriarch in 10-15 years. Who says no?!
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u/FutureRealHousewife 7d ago
Katharine Hepburn won four Oscars
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u/coltsmetsfan614 7d ago
I'm aware. Hepburn was the only person to have won even three Best Actress Oscars until McDormand won her third for Nomadland. People were saying McDormand wouldn't win because it would put her right behind Hepburn, and I guess they didn't think she was deserving.
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u/NpPro93 8d ago
I think Sam Rockwell could absolutely get another Oscar. Man’s one of the best actors working IMO.
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u/UnionBlueinaDesert 8d ago
Sam Rockwell didn't win in the 2020s?
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u/NpPro93 8d ago
I guess I interpreted “this decade” as “the past 10 years,” but I can see it probably makes more sense to read the prompt as 2020s
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u/WhatTheCluck802 7d ago
Frances McDormand absolutely will be a contender for another Oscar at some point, she’s truly amazing.
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u/SecretlyEverything 7d ago
She is incredible, I just watched Nomadland last night and can’t stop thinking about it. Planning on watching Three Billboards soon, either tonight or next weekend!
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u/WhatTheCluck802 7d ago
Funny, I watched Three Billboards yesterday and Nomadland a couple of weeks ago!
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u/SurvivorFanDan 8d ago
After Robert Downey Jr. won, I genuinely felt like the Academy may still want to award him for Best Lead Actor someday.
While Saldana's win (well, the movie she won for) may not age well, she's a very talented actress, that I could see having a lot more opportunities to win another Oscar someday.
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u/Rhain1999 7d ago
I think any of Emilia Pérez's wins (besides Saldaña's I suppose) aged poorly before the Academy even voted tbh
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u/BerlinWahlberg 8d ago
Emma stone is young and talented enough to grab a 3rd.
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u/kamisato50 8d ago
She's also starting to work as a producer on movies now that opens up her chances even more
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u/techerous26 8d ago
I'd say it's virtually guaranteed. She's obviously the smartest of the mid-gen millennial actors, she's going to be running the town in 10-15 years and making sure she gets all of the roles that would have gone to Meryl Streep in the 90s.
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u/LGL27 8d ago
She is also one of the few actresses who has Streep like range and a knack for accents. With her producing now, I totally expect her to have double digit nominations.
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u/rebelluzon 8d ago
Nah, she’s still far from Meryl Streep’s level. Her accents are passable at most.
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u/waymond1 8d ago
She also nearly 40 and we all what that means in Hollywood for women
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u/sooperflooede 8d ago
That she’ll be approaching the age of the six women who won the award between the two times she won?
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u/squeakycleanarm 8d ago
I literally just got out of Small Things Like This, he is sooo amazing there
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u/Naive-Inside-2904 8d ago
I fully expected Cillian to be nominated this year again for that.
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u/squeakycleanarm 8d ago
He can't? It's a 2024 movie
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u/Naive-Inside-2904 8d ago
This years Oscars have passed?
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u/squeakycleanarm 8d ago
Yess?? Anora won best picture, actor, actress, screenplay and editing
Adrien Brody won best actor
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u/Naive-Inside-2904 8d ago
And when do you think Anora was released?
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u/SwaggiiP 7d ago
In 2024, the same year as Small Things Like These
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u/Naive-Inside-2904 7d ago
🎯
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u/SwaggiiP 7d ago
So what’s your point?
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u/Sister_Ray67 7d ago
That Cillian Murphy could have and should have been nominated for an Oscar in this year’s ceremony, as it was a 2024 film, just like all the other nominees
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u/vidr1 8d ago
Cillian feels like a no-brainer. I can also see Emma Stone get another one if she chooses the right movies.
Otherwise all I want is that Ryan Gosling gets an Oscar, he's the best male actor atm.
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u/techerous26 8d ago
I wouldn't say he's a no-brainer at all, he obviously doesn't embrace the game enough to get the love needed in Hollywood to be a perennial nominee. Oppenheimer was a lock because Nolan lobbied insanely hard for him and started even before filming began.
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u/Strange_Shadows-45 8d ago
Emma barely has a project that wasn’t at least considered come award season for the majority of her entire career.
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u/vidr1 8d ago
Well for me, she has mastered it all, comedy, drama, musical, thriller..
What are you talking about? Just have a look at movies like Zombieland 1-2 or Cruella. Are that award movies? The only real award movie she's done is the la la musical with Ryan Gosling.
Also, after Cruella she had a daughter and the first movie she stared in after that was poor things.
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u/chafe3232 7d ago
How would poor things not be another example of a winning movie that she literally won for? Which also won 3 other Oscar’s. Cruella also won an Oscar. The Favourite had her nominated, with quite a few other noms + lead actress win. Zombieland 1 was 15 years ago.
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u/vidr1 7d ago
I never meant that poor thing isn't one, but I should ofc have mentioned it together with la la land. All I'm saying is that she's not an actor like Daniel Day-Lewis, that only does the biggest movies. She does so much more and isn't afraid to do something funny, or whatever.
Damn, did Cruella win an Oscar? I had no clue. Zombieland 2 was like 2 years before Cruella. She also does series like maniac or the curse, but so does a lot of the big names today.
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u/aagaash2001 8d ago
Daniel Kaluuya will win Lead Actor this decade. Calling it.
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u/SpiritualBathroom937 8d ago
He’s a very talented actor but he hasn’t done any roles recently that warrant an Oscar.
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u/infamousglizzyhands 8d ago
The last movies he’s done since his win have been Nope and Across the Spider-Verse. Both very good movies where he gave very great performances. I wouldn’t give an Oscar to either, but Judas alone has cemented his capabilities as a leading man for an Oscar win imo.
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u/The_Walking_Clem 8d ago
Honestly, i think that most of the 2022 winners won't be back. Will Smith is definitely not winning again, Troy Kotsur is a deaf man and Ariana DeBose needs to fire her agent. Maybe Jessica Chastain?? I'm not really sure about that.
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u/CranberryFuture9908 8d ago
Jessica could in lead or support . It depends on the role , the lineup , timing.
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u/DingoNo4205 7d ago
Jessica has the talent to win again. She just needs to pick good roles assuming they are offered to her. Since she won her Oscar we haven’t seen her on screen much.
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u/CranberryFuture9908 7d ago
She’s done more stage and television work recently and has some television projects coming up. I think actresses find television has more opportunities.
She also might not be thinking about that but it could happen at some point.
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u/Rude_Cable_7877 8d ago
Out of all the winners, I have a feeling that Cillian, Emma Stone, Mikey Madison, and Daniel Kaluuya might win again.
I don’t see Brendan Fraser or Ariana DeBose winning anytime soon (especially with the projects Ariana has been in, she needs to fire her agent). And unless Will Smith has a truly fantastic performance that gets a ton of awards attention, I highly doubt that he’ll win or get another nomination in the future.
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u/ev289 8d ago
Actor: Cillian and Brody have the best chance for another.
Actress: Frances is such an academy favorite, I think they'll be comfortable having her tie the record, breaking it, not sure. Emma will definitely get a third. Jessica possibly.
Support Actor: Daniel will likely have the best shot at another.
Support Actress: Good question, not sure
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u/coltsmetsfan614 8d ago
I think a lot of people are underestimating Jessica Chastain. It did take her longer than I expected to win her first Oscar, but people seem to love her, and she always does great work. I could totally see her winning a second one someday.
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u/Purplefairy24 8d ago
If RDJ leaves that Marvel shell for a few years after Doomsday and Secret Wars, and seriously dedicates himself to roles, he might get another Oscar. I was extremely sad when he went back to Marvel as I thought after Opppenheimer, he will do or even lead more serious films
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u/ophidian25soze 8d ago
couple of things, he was on broadway just 8 months ago, was nominated for an emmy and won an oscar. When bro was locked in on real projects he was unstoppable. But at the same time it is hard to reject playing Dr Doom and a $100M cheque.
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u/Sifsifm1234 8d ago
Plus, I’d say a winning the oscar on your third nomination must feel pretty fulfilling!
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u/apple_2050 8d ago
Win again this decade or win again in general?
This decade: may be very maybe Jessica Chastain
Again in general: anyone who isn’t Frances McDormand/Will Smith/Robert Downey Jr./Michelle Yeoh/Brendan Fraser/JLC/Ke Huy Quan.
No chance: all the above people since they were largely career wins or 3rd Oscar (Frances). Not to mention Will Smith is banned and isn’t doing much Oscar fare right now.
No chance (I hope not though): Zoe Saldana, DaVine Joy Randolph or Daniel Kaluya.
Knowing how Hollywood is and can’t seem to get it together to make films for Black/POC talent, it’s hard for me to believe that these actors will get another shot at an Oscar.
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u/_Alexxxxander 8d ago
And somehow Mahershala Ali still managed to win his 2 Oscars 2 years apart. Still blows my mind!
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u/apple_2050 8d ago
Yes!
Keep forgetting Green Book existed. Happy for him though. The rare time the Academy got it right.
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u/TaintedBlue87 8d ago
It's not that hollywood can't make films for black talent, it's that they only imagine black talent in "black" roles. black talent don't get offered the kind of roles that Emma Stone played in Poor Things or Timothee Chalamet played in Call Me By Your Name. Outside of biopics, most roles could be played by someone of any racial background but black people and POC only ever get taken seriously for roles that align with their race. Only one black actress has ever been nominated for a non "black" role in the history of the oscars and that's Cynthia Erivo for Wicked.
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u/Solid_Primary 8d ago
The ironic part about Cynthia Erivo being nominated for a nonblack role is her green skin is very much race coded...
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u/Sellin3164 8d ago
Brendan Fraser is in Rental Family this year which could be a Searchlight priority and Alan Alda’s son (I think that’s his relation) has it as his favorite film of the year. He sees unreleased films early. From someone who helped make BEEF so already no strange to awards
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u/apple_2050 8d ago
I will wait to see it before I comment on prospects. Plenty of films with award talent and prospects haven’t panned out in the past and this year the competition will be stiff (just from American releases so I am not even accounting for the international features) so I am not going to say if Fraser has a strong shot this year but we shall see
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u/techerous26 8d ago
I still think Will Smith should have started agreeing to waive almost his entire salary requirement for any black list script that has a reasonable chance of earning a ton of nominations just to make things incredibly awkward.
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u/Valorandilir 8d ago
I'd say Frances McDormand and Emma Stone are likely to win another or at least getting nominated. Maybe RDJ in the right role as well.
Except Will Smith, I guess everyone else has a potential chance to win again. The 3 above are just a lot more likely in my opinion.
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u/Immediate-Thought795 7d ago
Pretty sure Frances McDormand will bag a 4th Best Actress win. She seems very selective in the roles she takes on, but whenever she does, it gets all the acclaim and recognition. She also gives off Katharine Hepburn-like vibes…the one of a strong, self-willed, but supremely talented power icon vibes, which the Academy seems to have fondness for.
Emma Stone may also win another Oscar, though for some reason, I think it’ll be a Supporting Actress win.
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u/samuelhinchliffe91 7d ago
• Jessica Chastain • Jamie Lee Curtis (for an actual worthy performance) • Cillian Murphy
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u/GiraffePhysical4836 7d ago
Will win again: Emma Stone, Cillian Murphy, and Daniel Kaluuya.
Won’t win again: Brendan Fraser, Ke Huy Quan, Mikey Madison, Jamie Lee Curtis, Youn Yuh-jung, Anthony Hopkins, and Troy Kotsur.
Not sure: Adrien Brody, Zoe Saldaña, Frances McDormand, Kieran Culkin, and Michelle Yeoh.
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u/rideriseroar 8d ago
Agreed with Zoe Saldaña. Off the top, I think Kaluuya can win another. I can see him winning in Lead Actor with the right project.
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u/No-Sprinkles-1346 7d ago
Mikey Madison is very talented and I love her but with the way things are going with lead acting she kinda needs to get into a big Best Picture contender film or sweep the entire season in a great role that may not be best picture contender.
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u/commelejardin 8d ago
I'm really surprised no one has said Olivia Colman for a second win. She's already been nominated again, and she's absolutely going to transition into one of those British grande dames who gets nominated for pretty much anything prestige-y she does (a la Judi Dench or Maggie Smith). In the right year, that could lead to a win.
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u/ThrowawayCousineau 8d ago
Technically a 2018 film so not of this decade. But I agree she could very likely win again.
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u/Mordecai___ 8d ago
Am I crazy for thinking Zoe Saldana could snag another? Her win opens the door for her to take on more serious and baity roles instead of just blockbusters, it'll be interesting to see how her career plays out over the next few years
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u/hymenbutterfly 8d ago
I see no real reason why she couldn’t be nominated or win again. A part of her whole campaign was her taking a step back and wanting to branch out into work outside of blockbusters. I doubt she’s done with that exploration.
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u/Fun_Protection_6939 8d ago
Best Actor: Hopkins is very old and is possibly gonna retire in the next few years, Smith is banned lmfao, Fraser's win already isn't aging well and I think this is his only nomination. Murphy and Brody I can see.
Best Actress: Stone is easily going to be back, considering the wide variety and interesting types of roles she picks. Madison just has to stay far away from blockbusters, and her second win is basically guaranteed. I think Chastain has got her one win, but she may get another nomination in Supporting. Michelle Yeoh may get another Supporting nomination, but honestly? I don't think so. McDormand seems actively uninterested at this point.
I don't think anyone in Supporting Actor/Actress is gonna be back except for Kaluuya and maybe DeBose if she gets another prestige musical role.
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u/MulberryEastern5010 7d ago
I don’t see Brendan Fraser winning again, not because I don’t think he can deliver but I honestly don’t think he wants to compete again. TBH, I think he’ll be retired in ten years. He’ll enjoy his comeback for a while, maybe do a streaming series for which he may or may not win an Emmy, and then he’ll disappear quietly.
Whereas I think Cillian Murphy has a very good shot to win again, as does Jessica Chastain.
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u/GhostOfStonewallJxn 8d ago
Robert Downey Jr. absolutely could if he could just get free of the Marvel yoke.
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u/theflyingpiggies 8d ago
BEST ACTRESS
Mikey Madison (2024): Maybe. I can see a path where she does become a known actress and a multiple time oscar-nominee. But I can also see a path where this is her one big win and she just never gets back into that golden oscar winning movie/character. It’s too early to tell.
Emma Stone (2023): Almost surely. She’s a 2 time Oscar winner by 36 and her career doesn’t seem to be slowing down anytime soon.
Michelle Yeoh (2022): Again, I think it’s down to the role more than it is so her. But I don’t see it really.
Jessica Chastain (2021): Probably not.
Frances McDormand (2020): I feel like yes. I think she could tie for most acting Oscars of all time. But she is 67 so I’m doubtful she’d overtake Hepburn.
BEST ACTOR
Adrien Brody (2024): Probably
Cillian Murphy (2023): Probably. He’s had a career for awhile but it seems to be just starting to take off when it really comes to being seen as one of the greats decades down the line.
Anthony Hopkins (2022): No. The man is 87. I don’t mean to be blunt but…
Brendan Fraser (2021): Probably not.
Will Smith (2020): No. Fuck no. And we all know why.
SUPPORTING ACTRESS
Zoe Saldana (2024): Probably not unless this win transports her into playing consistently “serious” roles. This win felt more like a career win than anything anyways.
Da’Vine Joy Randolph (2023): Honestly I don’t know much about her or the roles she takes. So I’ll just say probably not.
Jamie Lee Curtis (2022): Considering she was nominated again this year, and considering she was given her Oscar over who most consider to be much stronger contenders, I’d say she has a shot. It seems like they want to give JLC more Oscars. With the right role.
Ariana DeBose (2021): Nah. Ever since her Oscar she’s just been starring in shitty blockbusters with shitty writing and her acting has not been Oscar worthy at all. I could maybe see a comeback Oscar years down the line but I think her careers gonna steamroll into the ground if she keeps going the way she is.
Yuh-jung Youn (2020) - No.
SUPPORTING ACTOR
Kieran Culkin (2024): If he can get the right role maybe but I’m gonna say probably not.
Robert Downey Jr. (2023): Ehhh similar to Kieran. If he can get the right role maybe. But I highly doubt it.
Ke Huy Quan (2022): Probably not.
Troy Katsur (2021): I know nothing about this actor, so maybe idk.
Daniel Kaluuya (2020): Probably. I think his career is still on the rise.
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u/ssmit102 7d ago
For everyone counting out Anthony Hopkins you should check out Locked… it’s not an Oscar film by any means but Hopkins does quite well in it and I genuinely think if he wanted more dramatic roles he could get them and could win.
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u/Urmomisbigfoot4 7d ago
Adrien Brody definitely has the talent for it, he’s amazing in every movie I’ve seen him in (even the not so good ones). But if his career goes the same direction it did last time, it might be awhile before we see him again.
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u/surge_aura 7d ago
Mikey Madison is so young and so talented I bet she’ll have another role equally as great as Anora.
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u/cheleconiglio 7d ago
Going to win again:
Emma Stone
Daniel Day-Lewis (if he comes out of retirement)
Viola Davis
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u/The_Walking_Clem 7d ago
Daniel Day-Lewis actually came out of retirement to star his son's film debut
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u/FNCKyubi 8d ago
Mikey Madison and Emma Stone are definitely winning again, Mikey is very young and Emma is an amazing actress and also not really old
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u/Leahnyc13 8d ago
I lowkey hope Killian wins another so he has yet another kid. 😂😭I think he will tho too.
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u/SwaggiiP 7d ago
So…controversial opinion but I can see big Willie getting another one. If he puts in the work for the next decade the academy will welcome him back when his ban is up.
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u/Hot-Significance-462 8d ago
I'd say Stone and Kaluuya are most likely to repeat, with McDormand in 3rd.
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u/ZealousidealUse7961 7d ago
Brie Larson maybe 2nd one Also Jennifer Lawrence Viola Davis with leading actress hopefully Even Michelle yeoh Not is Jaime Lee Curtis Leo
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u/greyjedimaster77 7d ago
Cillian Murphy if he stars in one of Christopher Nolan’s future movies maybe around 2028-2029
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u/Careless-Wrap6843 7d ago
I feel like Cillian Murphy probs won't win again as he doesn't do many films and is mainly a TV actor. But the least likely is Youn Yuh-Jung or Troy Koster as tbh their roles are limited in Oscar fair. Most likely is honestly Jessica Chasten.
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u/NoBlock6745 8d ago
Most obvious answer is Mikey Madison. She's so talented and gifted and she's only 24. She quite literally has her whole life to win another one
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u/PitifulGuidance2324 8d ago
Tami Malik will probably win another
Key Huy Quan has no chance of winning another Oscar because he really isn’t that good of an actor
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u/Price1970 8d ago
As mentioned, none of the 2022/23 actors are coming back.
They were all given their legacy or lifetime achievement Oscars, and none of them can claim a feel-good comeback story over the next few years as they age further into their late 50s and 60s.
Three of them didn't give the best performance of the year, or they would have been winning way more than their closest competition elsewhere, and the other one who was winning with most other groups, was a lead, not supporting.
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u/Few-Lifeguard7750 4d ago
most likely to win again: definitely either Emma Stone or Viola Davis. i think they are both very capable of giving another performance in the next 10-15 years that could convince enough people to give them another oscar least likely to win again: will smith for obvious reasons
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u/ForgotMyNewMantra 8d ago
Adrien Brody's 3rd Oscar - 20 years from now.