The possibility of DFV returning soon makes me curious to see how many are still here from the original 'bets subreddit days.

This was my first lot of 100 shares Sept 2020. Had some calls earlier in June 2020 but expiry was before the sneeze. All were purchased based on the original DD on 'bets from the man himself.

I know there are Apes here even older. And I know they HODL more shares than they did over 4 years ago just like this Ape! LFG

(SUPPLEMENTAL PROOF THIS IS HIS STOCKTWITS) - See the video of me scrolling through his posts on X from 12/10/2020 - you can see he made one of the same posts here as well as Stocktwits (the video in this current post).

3 days ago I posted "Why DFV's New Reddit Achievements are Far More Important than even a YOLO"

Please check that for a brief intro which mentions, yes, RK does have an inactive StockTwits account (now active again), from 2021.

Since May 2024, I have highly regardedly checked all RK sources of possible activity that I know of: X, reddit (achievements too), stockcharts, YouTube, and his StockTwits profile, which is here:

https://stocktwits.com/roaringkitty/liked

I had always checked the "Liked" tab because it was what I had suspected MOST of being used as another hint from him. Why? Because if he actually posted, that's too obvious. Following a new user? Too obvious again, that user would be notified. But simply liking something? Now that would be something special only a regarded ape like myself is watching for.

How have I tracked the liked tab? Well there is the web version, and there's also a StockTwits app. What I did was download the iOS app, and I copied all of RK's "likes." This is the only purpose of my StockTwits account.

My likes are RK's likes.

So, I can easily check that if there is another "like" from RK, it will not be liked by myself. It's so easy that it stands out like a sore thumb. And today, there was a fresh like from RK. It's only one that isn't RED, because I hadn't tapped it yet. Trust me bro.

In the video attached, you can see as I'm scrolling through, there is a single unliked post. That's because I had already liked everything else RK liked. (Except this from today.)

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UPDATE: For anyone checking on web, you won't see this and several other likes. You have to see this new like from the StockTwits mobile app. I'm not sure of the reason for the discrepancy, but StockTwits isn't that great of a platform. It's some kind of bug.

🚨🚨🚨 UPDATE 2 🚨🚨🚨: I know this will make me sound even crazier, BUT THERE'S ANOTHER ONE!!! IT HAPPENED IN BETWEEN THIS POST, AND ME CHECKING THE LIKE COUNTS ONE MORE TIME.

I also had saved in a text file the numbers of likes of all these posts/comments, for maximum autistic posterity. Occasionally I checked the numbers too, to see if the increased or decreased (meaning some other person liked these). This way I could even check if someone was doing what I was doing, potentially. Nothing ever changed (except for today). The original "like counts" where:

23, 8, 3, 10, 4, 16, 22, 18, 15, 3, 4, 22, 20, 4, 12, 3, 3, 7, 4, 26, 12, 4, 5, 10, 2, 15, 10, 2

And now (changes bolded):

23, 3, 5, 8, 3, 10, 4, 16, 22, 18, 15, 3, 4, 22, 20, 4, 12, 3, 3, 7, 4, 26, 12, 4, 5, 10, 2, 15, 10, 2

🚨🚨🚨 UPDATE 3 🚨🚨🚨:

This has really gotten me cross-referencing things from 12/10, since that is the date of the two new likes RK has added. Check his posts in this supplemental video: https://www.reddit.com/r/Superstonk/comments/1jt5ocx/supplemental_post_to_rk_stocktwits_activity_x/

Some seem eerily relevant.

https://reddit.com/link/1jt3c7v/video/w19musqzu9te1/player

Data Sources: https://www.ssga.com/us/en/intermediary/etfs/spdr-sp-retail-etf-xrt https://m.etfchannel.com/symbol/xrt/#google_vignette https://www.etf.com/XRT

“This is it. I’m telling you. This is it!”

Remember guys, by owning $GME now, we are technically the same as holding >50% in cash position.

The lower it gets, the greater DeepFuckingValue play it becomes. Hence please dont panic at whatever coming today.

APES TOGETHER STONK! APES TOGETHER STONK!

Of course he heard in the news about the stock market bloodbath. He knows about my GME position, so he ask if I also took a punch It was a pretty cool & sweet moment when I could tell him with a big smile that GME was the highest gainer in the market Friday and that everything is more than fine 😎

I got a feeling. #NFA.

because we haven't seen any proof that we bought any yet. RC is a great investor, he isn't going to buy bitcoin because MSM tried to make us think he did. i think RC will finish buying after a major BTC crash. historically speaking, it isn't rare to have a 50-80%+ pull back on bitcoin.

they've been trying to peg us to BTC since it's top. i wonder why.

sorry to burst your bubble bitcoin hodlers

Given that their entire war chest is being spent to keep the toxic Archegos bag from imploding, they are in a terrible position for this round of financial crisis.

If not for GME, they could've pivoted and prepared for a bloody red market ahead of time. They had all the right political connections to get a heads up. Think Goldman Sachs in 2008.

But they can't. Every spare penny must go to short GME via swaps and baskets.

They cannot recover from this round. Their portfolios are too toxic to take on. Bankruptcy is the only outcome.

Hey big guy. I bet you had a good week holding onto that beautiful GME stock. I know I did. But what if I told you that you’re not nearly as hyped as you should be. 

You’d probably tell me that me it’s highly unlikely because you’re always bullish and always hyped. I wouldn’t doubt it. But I just found something that might just blow your socks off. Check this out. 

I’m sure you’ve seen this meme before, it’s a classic:

Now, I’m about to show you that very same graph in a different context. I am going to overlay the VW short squeeze of 2008 with the S&P 500 in 2008 (during the 2007-2009 financial crisis):

So, we have the VW squeeze (just like in the SpongeBob meme) in YELLOW and the S&P 500 in ORANGE. Notice anything interesting? I did.

Lady and Gentleman. I propose to thee, that we are very much so on that O’l Reliable chart… but we are not quite at the circle. Oh, nay nay. We are right here:

Coincidence 1: 20% drop in the SPY before the VW run. 

The SPY (S&P 500) hit a high of $156 on Oct 9, 2007 before falling 56% to $67 on March 9, 2009. What’s interesting is that right as the SPY had dropped from $156 ->$125 (~20%) is the exactly when VW had its first major pop from $30-$40. 

Interesting… sure. But you may be wondering how this relates to GME. Well, the SPY just dropped 20% since its high’s and GME is finally getting some explosive and random upward movement for the first time in a long time. (Note: The GME spike to $28 during earning week was not random as it can be attributed to earnings. Random is when we have a +10% day with no business updates.)

Coincidence #2: The 2008 VW squeeze was triggered by the Economic Collapse

There was a great write up 3 years ago that showed us how the ‘VW Squeeze had more to do with the 2008 financial crisis than we were told’

I’ll break down the basics for you:

1. VW’s stock price had consistently risen from $4 → $22 during 2005-2007 (https://www.tradingview.com/x/YysldAhc/) due to limited availability of its shares. But there was no real squeeze until October 2008.
2. On Sept 19, 2008, the SEC issued a ban (https://www.sec.gov/news/press/2008/2008-211.htm) on short selling stocks of financial institutions because “because of the essential link between their stock price and confidence in the institution.” The ban was Effective Immediately.
3. The next day, we saw a spike in bank stocks (specifically the smaller banks), as well as some other usual sympathetic spikes like XRT, the retail ETF (which now contains GME).
4. While there was a significant spike in small bank stocks the following day as shorts tried their best to get out, they don’t fully close them out. They FTD a portion of the shares and we see a second spike occur 39 Calendar days later (C+35 and T+4 for Authorized Participants). That puts us at October 28^th, 2008. 
5. On Oct 27^th and 28^th bank stock rise again… but more importantly, those are the two days VW had its infamous spike from $25 → $110.
6. It appears Lehman was short the small banks, was forced out by the SEC, causing Lehman to close their bank position… which led to their margin call and the VW squeeze (which Lehman was also short).
7. The US Government provided $700 billion via Troubled Asset Relief Program (TARP) on Oct 3^rd, 2008. Hedge funds close their VW shares in late October and lose $30 billion in the ordeal (they were also lucky Porsche unloaded 5% of its VW holdings to keep the price from running up forever).
8. This also explains why the bailout money had to go to Wall Street. If the problem was truly just underwater mortgages, they could've just bailed out the mortgages as Jon Stewart has repeatedly pointed out. But they couldn't because they needed the money to cover other underwater short positions too.

So, what’s the 2^nd coincidence? The thing that can force a REAL short squeeze… is when large institutions get margin called. When does that happen? In market downturns… which we seem to find ourselves in right now. 

Coincidence #3: DFV knows he will get some blame for The Reckoning

Ever wonder why DFV has a handful of memes in his 110 tweet story about how the media will blame him? 

EX 1 – https://x.com/TheRoaringKitty/status/1791196925619789864  

EX 2 – https://x.com/theroaringkitty/status/1790793012936851665?s=46

EX 3 - https://x.com/theroaringkitty/status/1790747714440892825?s=46

EX 4 - https://x.com/theroaringkitty/status/1790740164848861227?s=46

Why would the media care? Better yet, why would DFV feel the need to address these accusations? Perhaps he knows that the squeeze with GME… will coincide with the next financial collapse. If it doesn’t alone cause a financial collapse, it could certain occur within one.

In 2008, we blamed the collapse on bad mortgages. In 2025, we will probably blame it on tariffs. But when one stock explodes and exasperates the situation… I could see DFV feeling the need to defend himself.

Coincidence #4: We will Emerge in a Black Swan Event

A Black-Swan event is a “high-impact event that is difficult to predict under normal circumstances but that in retrospect appears to have been inevitable”. That sounds like the definition of a GME short squeeze. 

DFV used a clip from the movie ‘Black Swan’ and threw his Roaring Kitty persona on top to show that when the black swan finally appears… Roaring Kitty/GME will emerge. 

https://x.com/theroaringkitty/status/1790774146994966570?s=46

Conclusion

We have seen some margin calls in the past -> Melvin Capital… but that didn’t lead to a real squeeze because they were bailed out by other hedgies.

But things seem to be happening. Tariffs are causing havoc in the markets. Ryan Cohen is buying up shares. April 20^th is coming up and the ‘time to cover’ may be over for shorts. Who knows… but I’m bullish as ever. But it really does feel like we right here:

All we need is something to force some FTDs… and then we blow up a month later. Or tomorrow.