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u/Phunk_Nugget 1d ago
Lol... Vedic astrology? Everyone knows Mayan astrology is where the alpha's at...
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u/ABeeryInDora 1d ago
Not if you're after that Indian option alpha, then Vedic (Hindu) astrology would be more appropriate.
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u/being_root 1d ago
The "trader" in question is after Indian Option Alpha on S&P ?
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u/Phunk_Nugget 1d ago
Its simple... The Hindu star people transfer alpha from Indian options to the S&P through causing a butterfly to flap its wings in China... Jeez people... Get edumacated...
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u/Ok-Professor3726 1d ago
It's not too far fetched, actually. There are futures strategies based on the phases of the moon. Not that I've tried any of them .
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u/Substantial-Burner 4h ago
What if we got it backwards? What if the moon rises based on the future movements?
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u/Active_Ground_283 1d ago
Don’t laugh lol. Using the moon cycles was something done in very early times of trading back in 1700’s-1800’s.
The people of the Know(Larger players/big $) - Would all buy and sell based on the patterns of the moon. So for example when full moon hits on a Friday- everyone who knew- would buy.
Then when a crescent sliver forms- they all sell.
Some people also believe the cycles of moon & tide can be predictable movement for stock market. I’ve never really looked or don’t much research on if it’s used today.
Also quick note - I have friends who trade forex pairs & their swing trading strategies are based off the price of cheeseburgers at McDonald’s in the countries pairs they’re trading.
There are so many different ways people have an edge lol, don’t discount weird stuff like that post above haha. It’s crazy but just about anything can be your edge. Lots of different ways to trade.
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u/username_is_taken_tf 1d ago
That’s called the big mac index
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u/jimmydooo 3h ago
As an American who is in Buenos Aires for a month, this feels especially apt. I just had the worst burger of my life and it cost me $20 USD.
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u/Ok-Photograph887 1d ago
i can say that people who ridiculed these ideas are constrained within a metal box
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u/salem833 1h ago
Moon market theory is real. As far as insiders colluding to buy and sell at certain phases as you say, i am not so sure. What i am sure about is the studies done that tie human emotions to the phases of the moon. The argument being humans are majority water so could be effected by these phases as well
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u/RoundTableMaker 1d ago
You can just use the Jewish calendar or Chinese as they both follow the lunar calendar. If you use their holidays it should line up exact and then work backwards. That's probably the fast and dirty way to do it. And that's going to actually work as their holidays impact the markets significantly.
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u/LowRutabaga9 1d ago
I mean if it’s backtested and works, who cares
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u/breadlygames 14h ago
Anyone rational cares. There are an infinite number of hypotheses, and by coincidence, many of them will have a good back test (and awful future results). This is why you only test plausible hypotheses, not complete idiocy. You've got to manage multiple-test bias.
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u/sitmo 1d ago edited 10h ago
They have a very good point. How do you trust your backtest, how do separate sensible things from non-sense? Some people say "it just works in the backtest, so I trust it". Other say "I tweaked it enough, add a couple of extra Saturn moons and price action indicators, and it started to fit!". You should be able to answer the seemingly simple question: how do you debunk such nonsense in a quantitative / statistical / causal way?
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u/0x14f 1d ago
This was an April 1st joke. But laugh aside, we should all commend OP for wanting to seriously backtesting this.
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u/Bitwise-101 1d ago
Question was posted yesterday (4th). The GitHub repo at the bottom also contains actual prompts and code, so I doubt it was an April fools joke but hey, if it works it works.
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u/Natronix126 1d ago
I have a moon phases indicator that does well on the s and p it swing trades and flips I think it mite have done well better with a tp it's been awhile since I backtested it. Just saying v the backtesting is doable their are better. I've seen some slay with astrology signals
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u/Party-Supermarket-16 1d ago
Please save some profits for us