r/boxoffice • u/whitemilkythighs • 20h ago
Domestic $52M+ OS through FRI for Minecraft Movie. Best in Europe and ANZ, with LATAM & Middle East crafting good numbers as well. Expecting $135M+ weekend for a global debut close to $300M.
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u/subhasish10 Searchlight 19h ago
So 160+ domestic?? Could Harry Potter finally be going down?? Also Idk if any movie can open bigger this year, Zootopia maybe?
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u/Tricky-Paper-4730 18h ago
i think Superman will be a surprise
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u/pokenonbinary 16h ago
Due to great legs, but the opening will be lower
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u/Tricky-Paper-4730 14h ago
i mean on the opening too, trailer reactions are fantastic and everything about it is making news
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u/darkmetagross 19h ago
Thats right let the numbers keep rising! lets go minecraft and then superman
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u/kumar100kpawan DC 20h ago
It keeps climbing up. Early estimates were 65M from the trades, Charlie said 100M+, then 125M+ and now 135M+
Not surprising considering the IP, and Momoa is huge OS as well
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u/Mr_smith1466 17h ago
I'm happy that audiences are enjoying a fun movie, but these results are really going to cement the mentality that mass audiences only really want known IP.
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u/impulsiveknob 14h ago
My local cinema was absolutely packed today with kids seeing this movie all day and the local Maccas are getting fuckin slammed with Minecraft happy meal orders and Easter school holidays start next weekend. This movie is gonna be seeing some high numbers atleast from Australia for atleast another 2 weeks
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u/VapidRapidRabbit 9h ago
I plan on taking my 12-year-old brother to see it tomorrow. Once again, the majority of this subreddit was wrong about a movie’s success 😂
This is great for Danielle Brooks though, she deserves a smash.
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u/Alive-Ad-5245 A24 20h ago edited 19h ago
Great opening… but it’s not touching a Billion with that B+ cinemascore though
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u/subhasish10 Searchlight 19h ago
There have only been 3 movies that have made less than a billion following a 160M+ domestic opening. BvS, Doctor Strange 2 and Black Panther 2. All of which belong to a genre which is extremely front loaded in nature. This movie otoh is very back loaded in its OW(perhaps the most back loaded movie I've ever seen). It's also the first movie whose OW tracking has only risen after bad reviews and Cinemascore. This movie keeps defying expectations and common sense.
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u/Severe-Operation-347 15h ago
This movie otoh is very back loaded in its OW(perhaps the most back loaded movie I've ever seen).
Wasn't Inside Out 2 just as backloaded/walk-up heavy? It didn't seem like it was going to open to crazy high numbers, and then it went rapidly up throughout the whole weekend, just like what happened with Minecraft.
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u/subhasish10 Searchlight 15h ago
Inside out 2 opened to 154 million from 13 million in previews.Minecraft is looking at 160 million from 10.5 million in previews.
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u/Alive-Ad-5245 A24 19h ago edited 19h ago
Minecraft is walk up heavy but it will be front-loaded as there not much to get people interested if you’re outside the fanbase
It’s not getting a 3.5x multi with its CS
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u/AgentOfSPYRAL WB 17h ago
I think it’ll have a better drop than your usual superhero mega hit. Parents can’t always get the kids out to the movies on OW.
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u/pokenonbinary 16h ago
Wtf are you saying, Minecraft is not a movie appealing to just nerds of the game
It's appealing to everybody in general because it's colorful and fun, general audiences want to see colorful fun dumb movies for 2 hours
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u/pokenonbinary 16h ago
Some movies have ignored the cinemascore "rule"
Ballad in 2023 got a B+ but had the legs of a A movie
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u/Alive-Ad-5245 A24 16h ago
The Hunger Games: The Ballad of Songbirds & Snakes is arguably the darkest YA movie in recent memory and doesn’t follow a typical plot structure for it’s genre…
So given the target audience the cinemascore makes sense.
What excuse does Minecraft have for its B+ cinemascore?
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u/pokenonbinary 16h ago
I agree with what you said
My point still stands, some movies ignore the rule and get good legs
Minecraft might reach a billion and nothing more instead of 1.3B like Mario did
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u/Limp-Construction-11 19h ago
I would not bet against this movie, it defied pretty much everything at this point.
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u/Alive-Ad-5245 A24 19h ago edited 19h ago
It can not defy gravity (pun intended),
A PG children’s film with a B+ cinemascore is simply not reaching a Billion, its drops will be too big.
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u/GPTRex 19h ago
PG doesn't mean much for this movie.
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u/NaRaGaMo 18h ago
no one expected a Chinese only movie will take down star wars and infinity war
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u/Alive-Ad-5245 A24 18h ago edited 18h ago
That’s not really relevant… ‘people thought this unlikely thing wouldn’t happen and it happened therefore this unrelated unlikely thing will also happen’ is a poor argument
I knew it would happen eventually because China has 4x the population of the US.
It’s not that impressive when you think about it that way
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u/blownaway4 20h ago
It keeps trending upwards even with Charlie's estimates.
1b would require 3.51x global multiplier. Not out of reach but also not the easiest task given the CS. I think this film needs to maximize its OW to have a good shot. I would like to see 300m.