r/politics ✔ Politico 1d ago

Soft Paywall Poll: AOC leads Schumer in head-to-head New York primary matchup by double digits

https://www.politico.com/news/2025/04/04/schumer-aoc-poll-primary-new-york-030621
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u/ymmvmia 1d ago

Nahh, she's definitely going to go for Senator in 2028 after Schumer's disastrous CR decision. Current polls show her with a landslide win against Schumer. 20-point-lead. She'd be stupid not to go for that. The effect on the democrat establishment would be dramatic if she were to unseat the Senate Democrat leader (minority, but probably majority in 2026-2028). Senate democrats would be forced to pick a new leader, and progressives will have a lot more leverage. Maybe Bernie could even get leadership before he retires? Depends on how dramatic the possible dem establishment collapse is.

I think Tim Walz or someone else would do better running for president. He's heavily signaling it. And he's the best positioned "progressive/pro-labor/anti-oligarch" democrat candidate for 2028. No one else has his name recognition and political positioning except for establishment/corporate/centrist dem politicans like Gavin Newsom who right now is getting massive backlash for cozying up to MAGA.

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u/CheesypoofExtreme 1d ago

He's heavily signaling it.

Kind of an understatement. He's been all over media dragging Trump and capturing headlines.

I think it's a good strategy for him as well. He needs to create his own narrative about who he is and what his positions are after the run with Kamala that effectively silenced any strong opinions he had. 

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u/Dark_Magus 1d ago

That assumes Schumer still is the Senate minority leader even next year, let alone in 2028. Politicians who defiantly say they're not stepping down is usually what happens right before they're forced to step down. There's 46 other Senate Dems who also get a vote in whether he remains the minority leader after all.

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u/ymmvmia 1d ago

Oh of course, I obviously am hoping he doesn't make it to 2028 still in leadership. But either way, whether he's still the Senate Dem Leader or if he is just a Senator, it would still be symbolically important to unseat him.

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u/bootlegvader 1d ago

Maybe Bernie could even get leadership before he retires?

If you mean Senate Majority/Minority Leader, then no Bernie is never going get that position. If you mean other leadership positions I will point out he has pretty consistently actually been given various leaderships positions.