r/wallstreetbets • u/ADropinInfinity • Feb 05 '25
YOLO $ASTS 122K YOLO on Weeklies Following Technical Breakout after FCC STA Grant And ATT Testing
TLDR: Last time a similar breakout happened was on August 12, 2024 when it Jumped From $19.7 to $31.36 in 4 days then to $38.6 in the following 3 days. Last Week ASTS Received the Long Awaited STA by Federal Communications Commission to conduct beta testing in the United States using AT&T's spectrum for Direct to Satellite Connection to Unmodified Iphones/Android.
Position:
3000 Strike $23 Call Options Expiring on Friday
500 Strike $25 Call Options Expiring on Friday
593 Strike $26.5 Call Options Expiring on Friday
Last week, ASTS received the Long Awaited STA by Federal Communications Commission to conduct beta testing in the United States using AT&T's spectrum for Direct Satellite Connection to Unmodified Iphones/Android. Despite the turmoil of the market, ASTS rose firmly on the daily following the news. This setup reminds me of the last breakout which happened on August 12, 2024 when it Jumped From $19.7 to $31.36 in 4 days then to $38.6 in the following 3 days.. In my humble regarded autistic opinion(which might be completely wrong), I'm seeing the same setup.
Disclaimer:
I'm not a financial advisor and am not giving financial advise. past performance doesn't mean/guarantee future results.... What I mentioned is very speculative and dumb gambling. Moreover, it's an opinion/entertainment post showcasing my degeneracy and might contain mistakes. That being said, don't copy this play as it might not work out as it's purely gambling in nature and options in general is the easiest way to get bankrupt on the stock market, so please don't lose your money.
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u/SitsinTraffic Feb 05 '25
3500 shares at $2.96 avg 💰
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u/SnooAdvice5240 Feb 05 '25
Should’ve diversified portfolio and allocated 5% into leaps anyways FU and enjoy your massive bag
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u/disasterly213 Feb 05 '25
People still sleeping on this company, I got burned by selling too early but I'm back in with shares. This is a long term play imo
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u/CartmanAndCartman Feb 05 '25
What do they do?
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u/disasterly213 Feb 05 '25
They cook giant space waffles and send them into lower earth orbit in order to waffle the un-waffled as they say
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u/fre-ddo Feb 05 '25
They allow shut-ins to go live in the woods AND access the internet. Literally the reddit dream.
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u/edgar_de_eggtard Feb 05 '25 edited Feb 05 '25
Space satellite broadband D2C network, 4/5G to ummodified phone. Vodafone did a video call demo
lastthis month.47
u/Bmf_yup Feb 05 '25
Starlink and other competitors are testing txt'ing, ASTS is testing Video calls to phones.
ASTS is way out in front with technology and patents.....
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u/CartmanAndCartman Feb 05 '25
5g from satellites? That’s impossible
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u/kryptonyk Cup and Handle Deez Nutz Feb 05 '25
It’s for real. The question is whether they can get enough sats up before someone else eats their lunch.
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u/edgar_de_eggtard Feb 05 '25
Looking at T-Mobile starlink beta test reactions, I think asts has at least 2 years of headstart
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u/kryptonyk Cup and Handle Deez Nutz Feb 05 '25
Perhaps, and I know there are some regulations that starlink may or may not be able to overcome as well.
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u/1003001 Feb 07 '25
They make Starlink D2D look like 2 cups and a string. When the constellation is complete they'll look like 1 cup and two girls.
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u/Tight-Giraffe-2229 Feb 06 '25
I was close to selling half my bags like a week ago, but this news put that idea on hold for a while now
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u/Particular-Rabbit756 Feb 05 '25
Sleeping on what? 7B market cap and they have no revenue. They will dilute 10 more times to deploy a full constellation of bluebirds, only to finally realize that no one makes decent margins out of satcom.
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u/disasterly213 Feb 05 '25
Yes you're right it's a speculative play
They don't need to dilute 10 times and if they execute their margins will be exquisite chefs kiss
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u/GeoBro3649 Feb 05 '25
2k shares. Jan 26' 40C
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u/SnooAdvice5240 Feb 05 '25
How much did you pay for your leap? I have Jan26’ $35 strike, paid $4.25
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u/GeoBro3649 Feb 05 '25
$5.81. I was busy with work this morning and missed market open...
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u/SnooAdvice5240 Feb 06 '25
Did you also just buy the shares? Or only bought the leaps today?
Been holding shares for AST for over a year and a half, I’m diamond handing shares and will prob exercise my leap
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u/GeoBro3649 Feb 06 '25
No initially I bought around 13-14 and have been averaging up since that first pump. Average around 18.50 now
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u/SnooAdvice5240 Feb 06 '25
Solid position, I’m really convinced this company can be valued between in the 100’s of billion by 2032 ish
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u/templario765 Feb 05 '25
Bruh I always miss your plays🥲 think you’ve hit every single one but like 1
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u/jsake Feb 05 '25
As someone who's been holding 10C Jan 2026 exp for a hot minute now I hope you're right cuz they been bleeding for a while now.
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u/my5cent Feb 05 '25
Shares not options is the way. You are betting on this news alone to move the needle. ASTs needs more sats to make money. It will be this year and next.
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u/danytamer Feb 05 '25
He’s up 100% breh
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u/my5cent Feb 05 '25
I'm seeing the price and it's not breakeven yet and he has 2 days left.
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u/overthrow32 Feb 06 '25
This company is paving the way and will shock a LOT of people in the coming year or so. IMO you cannot have too many shares. Been here from the start:
10k shares $10 1/26 leaps (purchased for 1.50 ea) Some lottos
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u/Delicious-Yak-3706 Feb 06 '25
I came searching to see if I should sell my shares. I got in super late at $29/share and was debating selling once the price went back up. Good to see people are still confident!
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u/overthrow32 Feb 06 '25
I couldn’t be more confident tbh. There’s so much going on here, and the government contracts could literally double our value.
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u/dat_sound_guy Feb 06 '25
I got also into the company at ATH (regarded, i know). I bought again some stocks @ 17EUR a month ago and plan to sell the portion that i have from the last ATH when it is close again. The stock is so volatile that i'm certain a new buy order at 20EUR will be succesfull the next 6months.
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u/dotarichboy Feb 05 '25
Just analyse the chart, very likely you're gonna make profit becoz the graph broke the bear trendline, thus going upwards likely.
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u/TKO1515 Feb 06 '25
Nice….. turn your yolo into some long term shares. By 2027 this will be $100+ and still think $100 is in play for 2025 if they truly accelerate
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u/PragmaticNeighSayer Feb 06 '25
I'm a HUGE believer in this company. But $100 in 2025 is probably not happening. 2027 for sure. Nobody throw your money away betting on immediate results. Just buy shares and hold for 2+ years, and you will be happy.
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u/TKO1515 Feb 09 '25
Depends on what timeline for launch campaign they come out with. I think it’s very unlikely too, but still possible. Say they launch 25BBs in 2025 and get to 45 in Q1 2026. That means service starts late 2025 and ramps fully in early 2026. Market starts pricing in 12-6months before it happens. $100 would be like $30b which on $1-2b rev run rate isn’t entirely crazy.
That being said, I don’t think they get to 25-30 up in 2025 I think it’ll be 17. 1-4-4-8. So I think $50 by YE could make sense.
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u/Shah456 Feb 06 '25
OP will clear at least $500k from the 23c. Pretty cool stuff.
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u/prodoubt Knows His History Feb 06 '25
Too bad this dude never posts when he buys. He seems to always post these “DDs” after he loaded up on calls across red days. WSB pump is real.
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u/Shah456 Feb 06 '25
who cares when he bought, he posted what's seems like yesterday at open. it was in the same price range for most of the day. you could have arguably got in cheaper than him.
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u/prodoubt Knows His History Feb 06 '25
He bought the 23Cs for an average of .35. Which means he would have to buy them Jan 31 or early Feb 3. The stock is up 30% since then.
I am not hating, I’m just saying he doesn’t have any comments or posts about buying. But he posts these same DDs after he is already loaded up and making money.
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u/Shah456 Feb 06 '25
they traded between .17 and .50 until like 3pm yesterday. look at the chart.
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u/prodoubt Knows His History Feb 06 '25
Are you sure you are looking at the right one? Feb 7 23C hasn’t been below .50 since the third.
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u/Shah456 Feb 06 '25
you know what, you're right. I can't read lol. I'm back on your side!
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u/prodoubt Knows His History Feb 06 '25
No worries, it happens.
If he still has the 23Cs - they alone are worth 1.2 mill right now.
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u/winternight2145 Feb 06 '25
Jan 31 is when the sta news dropped so it makes sense. Dude has 12x his money.
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u/HVACStack Feb 05 '25
Now we're talkin!
I'm holding probably too many shares so I'll be rooting for you.
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u/Bmf_yup Feb 06 '25
On Thursday, Cantor Fitzgerald initiated coverage on AST Spacemobile (NASDAQ:ASTS) with an Overweight rating and a price target of $30.00.
It's not too late to buy under 40...estimates are 2.5 -5 billion prople don't have cell phone coverage in rural locations globally.
ASTS is testing Cell phone coverage to remote locations in USA with VZ and AT&T. The already completes testing with Vodaphone in EU.
Currently there is no competition for Video Cell Phone calls. Starlink is testin txt'ing and their technology is inferior.
The more you google and find, the more you will agree this so the beginning of an ASTS bull run!
80-100 within 12-18 months! (this post will age well)
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u/StockTooHigh Feb 09 '25
Remindme! 12 months
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u/RemindMeBot Feb 09 '25 edited Feb 13 '25
I will be messaging you in 1 year on 2026-02-09 11:28:03 UTC to remind you of this link
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u/sketchfag Feb 05 '25
ASTS and RXRX are gonna moon but I'm too much of a pussy to put money in
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u/BetterProphet5585 Feb 05 '25
Pharmaceuticals? You truly are regarded
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u/grip_n_Ripper puts too much trust in the green flair Feb 05 '25
RXRX is working on a cure for regardation. Maybe. I have no idea, am regarded. Long ass-tits shares, 20c's and 25c's, short 30c's for March. It's been bouncing off 28 forever now, seems unlikely it'll break 30 this time around, but who knows.
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u/Ethereumman08 Feb 06 '25
We’ve come so far and derisked so much when the only visible bear case I can see is that the calls were faked 🤣
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u/Carbastan24 Feb 06 '25
1 billion cash on hand, the tech works as proved by the beta tests.
Honestly, at this point the only risk is an explosion at launches
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u/Ethereumman08 Feb 06 '25
And even then, that risk is only temporary. The company will recover from any failed launch if that was to occur.
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u/EvolvedA Feb 07 '25
Looks like your bet pays off bigly! I am already looking forward to your update!
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u/stocksandwatches Feb 05 '25
Did you sell yet? What’s your exit strategy? I’m trying to stay away from looking at how much I would’ve made if I held to today instead of selling on Monday (and I’m already pretty happy).
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u/ApostoleInTriumph Feb 05 '25
Remindme! 2 days
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u/RemindMeBot Feb 05 '25 edited Feb 05 '25
I will be messaging you in 2 days on 2025-02-07 22:24:11 UTC to remind you of this link
1 OTHERS CLICKED THIS LINK to send a PM to also be reminded and to reduce spam.
Parent commenter can delete this message to hide from others.
Info Custom Your Reminders Feedback
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u/skuIIdouggery Feb 07 '25
Thank you for this, btw. The rest of my calls exp'ing today died when the market shat itself but I took profits at the top on these and now I still have enough money to apply for a mgr position at Wendy's instead of one of those burger flipping roles for the poors.
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u/richkong15 Feb 05 '25
Betting on beta test is risky. I think most people will jump back when the next launch is happening in two months?
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u/Ratez Feb 06 '25
They already had successful beta test with Vodafone outside US. The US test is just formalities at this point.
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u/Ethereumman08 Feb 06 '25
Turkey too. Was some quoted local article where a Vodafone exec talks about success with testing ‘many voice calls and texts’
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u/Ratez Feb 06 '25
Yes sorry read and forgot. Theres so many catalysts its hard to keep track of them all!
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u/Ethereumman08 Feb 06 '25
Don’t worry I wasn’t criticising, just adding to the discussion so all can see!
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u/BeachDoc Feb 05 '25
What do you think about the bearish chart since that run up on August?
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u/GeoBro3649 Feb 05 '25
Its coiling up for a break out. A 5 minute text test from StarLink and the ATT CEO saying they're going to spend 5B on global connectivity might just be the second leg up. Coupled with more testing news and launches, it might blast off soon. I'd go with shares personally, but deep OTM options could be a good play too.
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u/roastmecerebrally Feb 05 '25
yeah its actually one huge fucking bullish pennant. Every single time its gone down…it goes straight back up. strong support
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u/Sir_Dolphin Feb 05 '25
ASTS went over 30 in August 2024 because of the hype for the Block 1 launch. Unless a similar catalyst I don't know about is coming up soon I don't see that happening again
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u/adarkuccio Feb 05 '25
That's not the reason lol, and if it were you should know there are at least another 4 launches planned this year with way more sats than last time. Every Q there are launches now basically, so according to you, catalysts. Next year even more.
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u/Sir_Dolphin Feb 05 '25
I know about Block 2 but if he's gambling on weeklies that won't matter...And yes the September launch was 100% the reason for ASTS parabolic run in August
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u/adarkuccio Feb 05 '25
No it was not, if you're not following you don't know what happens and why
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u/Sir_Dolphin Feb 05 '25 edited Feb 05 '25
I was following in July/August/September when it was worth following. Don't really know what to say if you don't think Block 1 was the reason for the pump
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u/AuthorAdamOConnell Feb 05 '25
Eh I like the company, I invested from $6 and rode it up then rode it down to about $24. For me, there are too many issues for me to feel comfortable holding it currently. Take your 'at least 4 launches planned this year.'
They may hit three. The first one is for a mere sat and it's looking like a May launch. They'll naturally need it to get into the correct orbital position, get all the paperwork signed off etc, etc before they can launch the next four sats. Best case scenario that's August which leads to another best case for launch three in November.
During that time there is a very real chance Musk is granted his waiver/rules are changed and he gets Starlink up and running with non-modified phones. Starlink will instantly take any business that comes from iPhones and will now be in a good position to gobble up global contracts while ASTS is trying to get online (I'd say they might be able to start making money at best in mid-26, but I think late 26 is more likely).
All that said, I could see myself buying in towards the end of the year if some of these things are resolved.
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u/Marko-2091 Feb 05 '25
There is another sat launching soon.
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u/Bmf_yup Feb 05 '25
17 sats this year...competitors can't make Video calls with the sat's they have launched and they are way behind technologically
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u/celestisdiabolus Feb 05 '25
Special Temporary Authorization
I can ask the FCC for an experimental license on an unused paging channel in my area to fuck around with some shitbox transmitter I put together and they'll still grant it as long as the potential for interfering with an adjacent/co-channel user is extremely unlikely
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u/TL-Legit Feb 06 '25
Yah. Except MNOs are testing and it works. Vodafone successfully tested video call on unmodified 4g/5g phone with ASTS satellites. AT&T & VZ are testing right now as well. Meanwhile competitors can’t even get texting right (Starlink).
May be a temporary grant, but that’s only for now. It’s standard procedure and bulls like me are looking into the future implications.
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u/Humble_Aioli5267 Feb 05 '25
Palantir is the king!!!! 800 this year!! buy it!!!!!
Palantir is the king!!!! 800 this year!! buy it!!!!!
Palantir is the king!!!! 800 this year!! buy it!!!!!
Palantir is the king!!!! 800 this year!! buy it!!!!!
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u/cbusoh66 Certified Shitposter Feb 05 '25
Satellite call was staged, and fake. You may get lucky on your weeklies, but this thing is heading to single digits when the next round of dilution is announced. They need 150 satellites, they have 5 in space and "working" on 17.
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u/CatSE---ApeX--- Feb 05 '25
Are you saying the CEO of Vodafone faked the call?
Why?
And the satellite call made to CEO of Rakuten, was that faked to?
I’ve done 1000h+ of due dilligence on ASTS and I say the only thing staged or fake here is your own comment.
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u/VisualMod GPT-REEEE Feb 05 '25
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