Goldman Sachs has just increased (9.00 am BST) its estimate of US going into recession in next 12 months from 35% to 45%.

This is based on their analysis:

In a note titled “US Daily: Countdown to Recession”, Goldman also lifted its 12-month recession probability from 35% to 45%, following “a sharp tightening in financial conditions, foreign consumer boycotts, and a continued spike in policy uncertainty” following Trump’s tariff announcements.

https://www.theguardian.com/business/blog/live/2025/apr/07/global-stock-markets-brace-donald-trump-us-tariffs-business-live-updates-news

Keep the faith and hold the line!

Listen for yourselves. He clearly understands absolutely nothing:

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=OWoOlLELSao

I'm really proud of Europe's attitude of late and very much look forward to a fresh and mutually beneficial trading relationship with our "old country" administrations. Let us all --i.e. the rest of the world-- follow Canada and Europe and not back down to a toddler bully who is deliberately crashing his own economy (to what end?...Haven't been able to figure it out unless he wants the US to become a dictatorship that would rule North and South America and let China and Russia split the rest of the world.

I'm hoping that on our watch, we will instead create the alliances that existed before WWII when the US was mired in the same isolationist attitude... I'm doing my best to not be terrified by the clarity of the Russia and North Korea tariff exemptions... (I've worked in jobs I would have been fired for by showing the tiniest concession to the "known enemies of the United States"), but it will take all of us in the rest of the world to come together in peaceful trade and alliance to allow the US to return to its 1950s state of "non-intervention."

There are so many possible scenarios that don't involve war, including some US state secessions, either as independent sovereign nations or joining Canada. Let's all focus on alternatives.

In the meantime, I believe the boycotts are a perfect way to redistribute the obscene wealth that has accumulated in a tiny handful of dominant companies. There is plenty to share, and scores of brilliant entrepreneurs who are racing to fill the gaps to meet the demand of the hundreds of millions of us across the globe that would welcome alternatives.

Stay strong. Use your purchasing choices to support your home country first, then other countries whose values you share.

My goal this month is to get off US digital products... which is a major challenge, but I'm up to it. If you haven't seen this chart, it's a terrific start. https://www.reddit.com/r/BuyCanadian/comments/1jnbpen/comment/mldcdi5/?context=3

Thousands of people showed up to protest. We're not going to let this insanity continue.

Just a peach of a citizen:

Marzulli revealed that Braun's charges include assaulting an elderly man; assaulting his wife; groping his nanny without her consent; assaulting a 3 year old child, and threatening a hospital staff member.

https://www.theguardian.com/environment/2025/apr/05/trump-pfas-toxic-forever-chemicals

Appreciate all the effort and advice people here are putting out there. The last 4 days have been a wake up call and efforts must be increased, while at the same time keep in mind that, perfect is the enemy of great and "puritanical" attitudes are counter productive

God i hope some country opens up to US refugees. I hate it here so much. I would absolutely leave given the chance. Its a dystopia dude and im a white guy imagine how atrocious it must be to be a woman or minority in the US

In using the goods unite us app, I have been surprised to learn that most of the major fast food chains largely donate to the Republican Party. Wendy’s, Taco Bell, McDonalds…I knew fast food wasn’t good for me, but now I have a stronger reason to avoid these places.