$GME RED = Buy GREEN = Buy I have a Red / green deficiency! I’m color blind! See you all TOMORROW!!! MOASS INEVITABLE!!! 🔥💥🚀 🍺

Looking at some juicy gains.

Non-partisan analysts say the Trump agenda, if enacted, would add about $5.7 trillion to the federal government's debt over the next decade. Senate Republicans contend the cost is $1.5 trillion, saying that the effects of extending existing tax policy that was scheduled to expire at the end of this year should not be counted in the measure's cost.

The measure also aims to raise the federal government's debt ceiling by $5 trillion, a move Congress has to make by summer or risk defaulting on $36.6 trillion in debt.

Server Messages - https://imgur.com/a/0RtYGkM

(btw i added the messages because i barely use reddit and some people were clowning me on earlier posts. figured this would help show i was already calling it near the top of spy in march. i posted about it a lot in the server i’m in, so it’s not hindsight. being skeptical is fair, but the timestamps are there.)

not here to hype fear or act dramatic. i’ve built a macro-based signal over the years. it’s not about price patterns, not moving averages etc it’s a mix of economic indicators that tend to shift before real downturns start to unfold. it doesn’t show up often because the conditions it tracks just don’t come together like this very frequently.

it’s only triggered a few times in the last 20 plus years:

early 2000 before the dot-com collapse
november 2007 just ahead of the great financial crisis
mid 2015 before the 2016 earnings recession
november 2019 right before the covid crash
and now late december 2024

i didn’t sell during 2022 or 2023 despite all the noise. inflation, rate hikes, fed panic, whatever. everyone was yelling recession but my signal stayed quiet. and that told me those pullbacks weren’t the real deal. and they weren’t.

actually thought trump coming back into the picture might throw the model off. figured maybe the policy shifts or volatility might break it somehow. but no, if anything it’s proving the signal right. it’s not about politics. it’s just the structure underneath everything that’s starting to crack again.

the signal triggered back in late december. and now here we are, april 4th, and it’s fully live. i think the downturn is just getting started. based on the timing of previous signals i expect this could run from now through mid 2026, maybe even early 2027. this doesn’t look like a dip. it looks like the beginning of a full deleveraging cycle just like the ones that followed every other time this flashed.

holding spy puts for 2026 at the 330 strike and others depending on the premium . i’ve also got long dated puts on carvana and arkk and a bunch of other bloated growth names. all puts and sqqq montly calls. will post the positions if needed, i’m only day trading in this environment, with the occasional swing call when something really lines up. i’m not out here dumping everything or screaming the world is ending. just being realistic. if this model keeps doing what it’s always done, then it’s probably smart to be looking at downside protection right now. puts, hedges, whatever works for you.

for the chart itself, it’s not a single model. it’s pretty much a blend of macro indicators i’ve followed over time (few years now) and how i’ve come to piece them together. i’ve got an econ background, so naturally i’ve built my own view on how certain data fits. nothing complex or dramatic. just patterns that tend to show up before major cycles turn. how it’s put together is still interpretation at the end of the day, and i get not everyone will see it the same way. but it’s showing the same alignment now that’s been there before bigger moves in the past.

the chart’s themselves are based mostly on core economic indicators like liquidity, credit spreads, forward earnings, all the stuff that usually starts shifting before the actual cracks show up. the yield curve stayed inverted all the way through late 2024, which was the longest inversion since 1929, and every major downturn since the 50s followed that same setup. credit spreads started widening again toward the end of 2024, hit the highest in over six months, same thing we saw before 2000, 2008, and 2020. the ISM manufacturing index was under 50 for 26 months straight by december 2024, longest streak ever in the data. unemployment also started to turn, went up about half a percent from the cycle low, which triggered the sahm rule, and that one’s never missed a recession. all four of these flipped again in late 2024 but i incorporate more views of course, same as they did before every major breakdown in the last 25 years. some of the metrics are forward-looking or projected, in such I expect the fed to cut to near zero around early 27’. most of this is also relying on intuition from studying econ and tracking this stuff for a while .

not here to call tops or stir panic just sharing what i’m seeing based on how this has lined up in the past. trade safe out there.

(also posted this on other subs and got replies saying iust showed up out of nowhere and i dont ever talk about investing on reddit etc. not every post is tied to this signal, but if you check my history you’ll see, i just don’t post unless i feel like something actually matters.)

https://www.reddit.com/r/wallstreetbets/comments/1i4ifs3/comment/m7vgzel/?utm_source=share&utm_medium=web3x&utm_name=web3xcss&utm_term=1&utm_content=share_button

https://www.reddit.com/r/ValueInvesting/comments/1jh9rzm/comment/mj5low0/?utm_source=share&utm_medium=web3x&utm_name=web3xcss&utm_term=1&utm_content=share_button

https://www.reddit.com/r/wallstreetbets/comments/1i5wk8e/comment/m89k9ua/?utm_source=share&utm_medium=web3x&utm_name=web3xcss&utm_term=1&utm_content=share_button

https://www.reddit.com/r/ValueInvesting/comments/1i3oahu/comment/m7rndx6/?utm_source=share&utm_medium=web3x&utm_name=web3xcss&utm_term=1&utm_content=share_button

https://www.whitehouse.gov/presidential-actions/2025/03/establishing-the-united-states-investment-accelerator/

Everybody’s waiting for the Kitty to return. Ones gotta stretch before the big fight! “It’s’Time’…” 💥… 🚀

Shorts never closed.

DTCC commits international securities fraud.

SEC & FINRA are colluding and complicit.

Ken Griffin lied under oath.

JP Morgan is a crime syndicate.

No cell, no sell 💎🙌🚀🌙

$GME GameStop 🎮