r/Oscars • u/amystake12 • 27d ago
Prediction Does anyone else think Robert could secure a nomination or win for his role in Mickey 17? I found his range and different characters to be very impressive.
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u/DirectConsequence12 27d ago
Give him two Oscars
Best Actor for playing Mickey 17
Supporting for playing Mickey 18
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u/Aquametria 27d ago
Sadly I think Robert is going to be the designated nom worthy performance that came out too early for acknowledgement.
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u/celery1234 27d ago
Oh my god is your profile picture Cardinal Lawrence holding the Burn Book??? The crossover I NEEDED.
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u/Important-Purchase-5 27d ago
Plus Sci-fi isnāt really awarded.
At time Dune Part 2 people were saying Timmy, Austin Butler and Ferguson are locks for Dune. I really thought Ferguson would get a supporting Actress nomination at least.Ā
She was wonderful and horrifying in the role.Ā
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u/celery1234 27d ago
Just like Challengers ššššš
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u/ray0923 27d ago
More like Dunst in The Civil war.
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u/iguessilikepeas 27d ago
She was great in that movie. I wish it was more popular. When I mention that it to people, theyāve never seen it.
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u/amystake12 27d ago
I donāt know if that is totally relevant. Dune 2 was released March of last year
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u/gabeonsmogon 27d ago
If Dune 2 is released in November it would be a different story. It deserved more recognition.
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u/RoxasIsTheBest 27d ago
And it heavuly underpeformed vompared to expectations. The only reason it still got 5 nominations is because it's Dune Part Two
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u/Objective_Water_1583 26d ago
He has two more films coming out this year maybe one of those will get him a nomination
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u/EntertainerUsed7486 25d ago
No offence but even after watching the film I donāt understand why anybody would think the Oscarās would pick up this film
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u/Snow-Princess-99 27d ago
I really want Robert Pattinson to win an Oscar someday soon. He is a genuinely great and impressive actor that disappears into roles
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u/amystake12 27d ago
Exactly!! It is WELL overdue.
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u/Snow-Princess-99 27d ago
Agreed!!! He should have at least one or two nominations by now imo lol!
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u/amystake12 27d ago
Hoping it happens this year!! Other people have pulled it off for equal or even less.
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u/Snow-Princess-99 27d ago
Oh yes for sure!! I hope with him working with bong joon ho they are more likely to recognize his artistry. Academy PLEASEšššš
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u/dtfulsom 26d ago
For what?? I think at best you could argue the Lighthouse (where he was the far less interesting character/actor), but that's about it?
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u/profoundnamehere 26d ago
He was really good in Good Time
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u/dtfulsom 26d ago
He was good in Good Time ... that wasn't really what I'd consider an Oscar role ... was he commonly considered to have been snubbed that year? It was a stacked year, and I'm not sure I'd say he was better in that film than anyone else nominated (and I certainly don't think it was the best performance of the year).
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u/Parmesan_Pirate119 27d ago
He's screaming industry vet that keeps getting snubbed over and over again and then has a massive sweeper campaign for his 10th best movie but in a year that everyone finally agrees it's his moment.
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u/Lin900 27d ago
It doesn't seem like he cares and he does what he wants.
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u/PrincessPlastilina 26d ago
Thatās true. He doesnāt care about the politics of campaigning for awards season. I respect that.
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u/dtfulsom 26d ago
I mean ... that's a very early call. He hasn't been snubbed once yet (unless you want to say he should have been nominated for the Lighthouse, but I don't think anyone would say he should have won for that, and non-nominations are only considered "snubs" in the single year that they occur, after that everyone forgets them) ... and you're saying he's going to be snubbed over and over again before winning? Based on ... what, exactly?
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u/iguessilikepeas 27d ago
I was so impressed by his performance in The Lighthouse. It really changed my perception of him as an actor. Heās really great to watch!
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u/Parmesan_Pirate119 27d ago
Honestly, I feel like this film is more likely to be forgotten about. It didn't have the undeniable reception a March release needs to make it far, it might be too out there for the Academy, and it looks like a decently stacked year. If Dune: Part Two fumbled as hard as it did, I don't see Mickey 17 doing great.
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u/binaryvoid727 27d ago
The acting, cinematography, and VFX were great but the film was underwhelming overall in my opinion as a massive Bong Joon-ho fan.
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u/sunnyrunna11 27d ago
Dune: Part Two didn't fumble. I was surprised it even received a nomination for Best Picture. There were at least 3-4 from the last year that I'd put in the top 10 over it (A Real Pain, Challengers, Flow, The Wild Robot). VFX and Sound Design? Absolutely deserving of the wins. But not the complete film.
That said, Pattinson's performance seems like it might be the only thing that will have staying power from Mickey 17. Just depends what else comes out to compete with him.
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u/amystake12 27d ago
Iām hoping that isnāt the case. Robert, Mark and Toni gave unforgettable performances. If anything I think there could be actor or VFX noms
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u/dtfulsom 26d ago
A sci-fi box office bomb that came out in March is almost certainly not going to get an actor nomination, but I hope the film does well going forward and gets a cult following!
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u/stumper93 27d ago
Not at all, I donāt think itāll get any noms come next year. And if it does? Maybe one below the line nod
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u/amystake12 27d ago
What do you mean below the line?
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u/inside4walls 27d ago
RP was a bright spot in an otherwise mediocre movie, and even if his performance has been praised, I havenāt heard anyone saying that itās oscar worthy.
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u/thepresidentofcuba 23d ago
i thought it was pretty easily his best performance of his entire career
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u/Belch_Huggins 27d ago
I loved the performance, but it's just not the type to receive awards attention.
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u/apple_2050 27d ago
It depends on the studioās commitment to the film.
Considering the film is underperforming at the box office, the studio may be reluctant to spend more money on an awards campaign.
Also the film released in March. It will need a lot of momentum and buzz to stay in the conversation through the summer (Cannes) and the fall (when all the festivals happen and the voters are flooded.
It can be done (EEAAO, Get Out) but the studio has to put their might and money to it
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u/gatsby365 27d ago
Walking out of the theater last night I asked my buddy if the whole āone actor, two rolesā thing was a new Oscar ploy, since MBJ is doing it next month in Sinners.
Itās wild that we have that happening again so soon.
But yeah, Iād totally support a nom, heās legit the only reason ANY of Mickey 17 worked. And a lot of it just didnāt.
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u/AntWithNoPants 27d ago
I wouldnt call it an Oscar ploy. Most movies that do that sorta thing do it for a reason, and are also not the sort of movies that get oscar noms, yknow?
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u/P4rziv4l_0 27d ago
you can't expect poor Academy members to remember films that came out a year ago
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u/Turbulent_Attitude44 27d ago
My impression (might not be true) is that movies released in the first semester of the year are never even nominated
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u/lookintotheeyeris 27d ago
He wonāt, I think itās the best performance of the year so far thoughā¦ thereās still a lot to go but-
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u/North_Adhesiveness96 27d ago
Unfortunately donāt see this happening, and I love him. The movie came out too āearly.ā Iād be really happy if I was proven wrong though.
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u/BagZCubed 27d ago
He'd be getting an Oscar for playing both Ren and Stimpy.
(He said he initially read Micky 17 and 18 in a Steve-O and Johnny Knoxville impression, but Bong Joon Ho wasn't a fan, so he instead did Ren and Stimpy)
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u/amystake12 27d ago
Weird. In the interview I watched, Robert said for 17 and 18 he took inspiration from Steve Buscemi and Peter Stormare in Fargo, which I can see more.
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u/BagZCubed 27d ago
I didn't know that either. I think it's possible he got inspired from more than one source because I can hear some of the influence of Ren and Stimpy from clips I've seen, but those examples work too. Mainly Steve Buscemi because I haven't watched Fargo.
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u/Imaginative_Name_No 27d ago
He's very good in the film, better than a good number of a nominated performances, and a non-zero number of winners. However it's a genre film released in March. Either of those things would be enough to make a nomination pretty unlikely, together they're almost certainly insurmountable
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u/Winter_Bet4920 27d ago
Long way till next years nominations. Great job and I certainly thought it worthy
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u/lemonwhiteclaw 27d ago
He and this movie are going to get the Challengers/Dune Part 2 treatment of being great but coming out too early.
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u/sortasorcha 26d ago
I was saying this as I walked out! Even at the same time knowing it is unlikely. The comedic soft character is wholly new but the badass action psycho just feels like batman, for me very refreshing and fun but idk, with the early release date and the movie itself being pretty popcorn-y but not very Oscar bait-y.... it's one of those performances I really enjoyed and thought was perfect for the movie but doubt will garner much awards attention. It is a tearjerker too though.
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26d ago
He'll need a LOT of support from critics' groups and industry as it's a genre piece, but hey, we just saw Demi Moore ride The Substance to several key wins and an Oscar nom, so anything is possible!
Saw the film this weekend and he was remarkable. He's been adventurous with his projects for quite a while now and The Lighthouse was one of the best acting showcases of the 2010s.
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u/emielaen77 26d ago
I Imagine itāll sadly go overlooked. Itās an easy nomination though. Heās earned it and the performance(s) are pretty great.
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u/PrincessPlastilina 26d ago
About time! Heās been deserving of a nomination for a while. Good Time. The Rover. The Lighthouse. Heās insanely talented and full of range.
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u/Cute-Combination72 26d ago
Hmm based on reviews and box office performance plus the early release date i will say no
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u/Gabamaro 26d ago
Maybe, he is a good actor and if the academy actually watch his movie he can have a shot
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u/OkAnything1651 26d ago
Yes!! What an amazing movie. Just saw it last night. So smart. Everyone should see it.
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u/rubix7777 26d ago
I think he could win GG best actor comedy and get nominated for best actor at CC and maybe get in at the oscars from there but with 2 more anticipated proformances to come this year I feel like the votes will either be split amongst the three leading to him getting 0 nominations or they will vote for his proformance in the strongest film, which I am predicting to be Die, My love, which I could definitely see him get a BSA Nominations and even win for if it lives up to the hype. But considering it is bong joon ho and despite the complaints I am hoping the strength in the tech areas of the film, the great casting and the majority good reviews can carry it to a few Nominations (at least visual effects, production design and costume design) and with it, it brings along Pattinson for a Nomination or maybe win because that proformance was an all timer, sad, funny, scary, plus he is simultaneously playing the biggest Supporting role and the lead role
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u/Remote-Guarantee6385 26d ago
Robertās performance in Mickey 17 was š I love how there were multiple portrayals of the protagonist. Also, a really good director Park Chan-wook praised Robertās work. Unpopular opinion but I feel like he deserves both Best Actor and Best Supporting Actor nominations for his roles.
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u/Striking-Treacle3199 26d ago
lol I hope so. The film is out early and has some good and some mixed reviews but all praise him so maybe he doesnāt get there, but would be really cool if he does. I liked the film a lot. š¤š
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u/joeshoe2020 26d ago
I loved this movie then I got on Reddit and saw everyone dogging it. Like did I miss something that made it bad?? I enjoyed the entire movie lol
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u/amystake12 26d ago
I know!!! I really donāt get it. I think it was a wonderful movie and Iāve seen it twice so far
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u/swimming-sw 26d ago
Havenāt seen this movie yet, but Iām surprised with this question. Has this guy learned to act after all? donāt get me wrong, but all Iāve seen is 2 or 3 terrible performances from him.
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u/amystake12 26d ago
He did amazing in this and has always been good. What other performances have you seen? He definitely deserved an Oscar nom for the lighthouse.
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u/swimming-sw 26d ago
I saw that Harry Potter heās in, then twilight, then a movie in which he plays Dali. After that I admit I started avoiding his films because I found his acting really bad in those. Maybe I should give him another chance then.
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u/Free_Dragonfly9050 22d ago
I reallyyyyy want to, but this might be Dune: Part II 2.0 . Itās about time Robert gets his Oscars.
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u/PracticalEarth135 27d ago
I loved this movie and totally agree, but I don't think he's getting a nom. If Mickey 17 is getting any above the acting noms, it'd probably be Mark Ruffalo for supporting actor.
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u/amystake12 27d ago
Well Iām hoping he does. Most people thought Demi wouldnāt get nominated for a body / sci-fi horror and she did.
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u/DrVonScott123 27d ago
It can be the overdue Oscar Bruce Campbell deserves for his work as different Ash's
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u/Affectionate-Club725 27d ago
Thereās no way, not with the squeaky voice. That, and itās unlikely something released this early in the year gets noticed. I loved the movie, but I think the Toni Collette and Mark Ruffalo characters are also too cartoony, not that those portrayals should reflect on Pattinson, but itās likely they will.
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u/superfluouspop 27d ago
Unfortunately, I don't think MIckey 17 will generate much awards show attention. I saw it last night and it was very unremarkable. That's how I felt about Challengers, and I expect similar for this one. Definitely don't go in expecting the brilliance of Parasite.
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u/amystake12 27d ago
I wasnāt expecting it to be anything like parasite so maybe thatās why I loved it.
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u/Worried_Tomorrow_222 26d ago
I loved him in the movie so this is gonna be my hopediction. I'll throw in Naomi Ackie as well.
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u/paolocase 27d ago
Maybe not. Even if the Academy is paying more attention to genre films, theyāre not paying enough attention to them. This goes for most of Pattinsonās choices lately even if heās rich enough to do whatever he wants, which is goals.
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u/amystake12 27d ago
Hmm. Well I hope that changes given some of the voters were exposed this year for not watching all the films.
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u/Affectionate-Pair734 27d ago
Of his 3 chances this year this is easily the least likely. On the film in general- will be forgotten by award season, and the tone/mixed response to it probably rules it out of anything (didnāt love it but would have in down for effects personally)
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u/asteinberg101 27d ago
I would certainly like it if that happened, but releasing so early in the year means most voters will likely forget about it aside from maybe a few technicals
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u/Dismal-Statement-369 27d ago
I thought the characterization was all off in this movie. Pattinson was good ā but why did the Mickeyās have different personalities? Why did girls fancy dorky Mickey? All the motives between the characters were murky at best ā felt unfinished and hard to follow what anyone actually believed or wanted. Why did Mickey 18 suddenly decide to be a martyr? His arc wasnāt clear. What was the point of Kai? What was up with Nashaās personality just changing at random? Couldnāt grasp any of it.
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u/amystake12 27d ago
As far as the character changes, people are multi-dimensional. That one change with Nasha was because she was on oxy. And also I think 18 being different is because one of the medical guys tripped on his chords during the reprinting process. And 18 is still Mickey at the end of the day, so the martyr thing didnāt surprise me.
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u/Dismal-Statement-369 27d ago
Donāt they mention that all Mickeys are different? It just felt quite messy to me.
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u/TacoTycoonn 27d ago
Loved the performance but there is like a 1/1000 chance he gets nominated. This is a genre that the academy typically doesnāt care for, itās not gonna be very profitable, itās coming out early in the year, and it doesnāt seem to be universally loved. Iād say itās extremely unlikely he gets nominated and virtually impossible for him to win.
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u/notmyfakeid_hd 27d ago
Yeah it was a fun movie but not award season buzz worthy. At most a Golden Globes comedy performance.
My guess is if The Odyssey from Nolan turns out to be a great film, he'll get some award season love then.
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u/Rude_Cable_7877 27d ago
It would be nice if he did, but seeing how the movie was released in March, I doubt heāll get nominated.
However, it would be nice to see the movie get some tech nominations
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u/pwolf1771 27d ago
Iāll be shocked if this is remembered in winter 2026. He did a great job but this will be forgotten.
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u/criticalascended 27d ago
No shot unfortunately. The release date shows Warner Bros aren't gunning for awards with this one, and the movie needed universal acclaim to really sustain itself till awards season.
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u/fake_zack 27d ago
I really enjoyed his role! Not a snowballās chance in hell for a nomination. Too weird, a year out, sci fi, comedic performance are an Unbreakable seal of ānot getting that Oscarā
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u/ProfessionalCorgi250 27d ago
Right now heās prime Depp with more range and depth.
I donāt think he will win an Oscar until he does something out of his niche ala Finding Neverland.
I suspect heāll be in some Oscar bait within the decade where he plays some Greatest Generation person like Revolutionary Road to try to secure a best actor nomination.
If he stays in his niche I can see him nabbing best supporting actor down the line.
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u/holethebandtheshow 27d ago
Havenāt seen the film but based on what happened with Challengers last year, I think it was released too early in the year, likely to get snubbed.
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u/davebgray 27d ago
I think this is probably his best role.
But, no.
I think the movie is going to be divisive, it probably won't make big money, but more importantly, I think the time of release is going to hurt its awards changes. I think the academy will have forgotten about it, especially because I don't think it's going to be a phenomenon.
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u/WordsWithSam 27d ago
A great performance, but I feel that the movie's release date and underwhelming performance at the box office will ultimately rule it out from award's contention. Stupid technicalities, but it's just how the system operates.
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u/Neptunewasblue 27d ago
I havenāt see the movie yet, but donāt you think that a release so early in the year will eventually affect the changes of him to be nominated?
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u/SnooPineapples6099 27d ago
No because this came out in March.
Academy is the definition of recency bias every year.
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u/aagaash2001 27d ago
He's probably getting nominated for Die, My Love (Lynne Ramsey film with Jennifer Lawrence). Maybe a Golden Globe nom?
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u/proserpinax 27d ago
It was a great performance but I would be shocked if much of anything from Mickey 17 gets a nom. Would love to be proven wrong though!
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u/Worldly-Pineapple-98 27d ago
It's a good performance, but I would eat my shoe Werner Herzog style if it happened.
It's too far away from awards season and doesn't have the momentum that allowed Oppenheimer and EEAAO to overcome the gap. So I wouldn't expect to see it get any non-technical nominationsĀ
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u/tony_countertenor 27d ago
They never do it for performances like this. James McAvoy didnāt get one for Split either
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27d ago
No. If it came out closer to awards season I think maybe Globes recognition, but now? Not a chance at all.
The movie was one of Bong Joon-Hoās lowest reviewed critically, and it came out far too early in the year to really every maintain any traction or passion through the 2025/2026 Awards Season.
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u/candangoek 27d ago
I don't think so. I really liked his performances and his range, but I don't think it is enough for Oscars.
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u/Plant_in_a_Lifetime 27d ago
Die, My Love will be coming out this year too. Him and Jennifer Lawrence. He could get a nom from that..
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u/themiz2003 27d ago
Too much of the 17 character was done through narration and it's hard to really quantify how important that is to a role. I also don't think the performance was strong enough for an Oscar anyways because this very much felt like an ensemble movie acting wise. Ruffalo would he who'd I'd look at for a random award here or there but doubtful.
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u/BarcelonetaE70 27d ago
Pattinson is a phenomenal actor and I think he is bound for an Oscar nomination eventually. But Mickey 17 will not be the movie that leads him to Oscar glory.
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u/EuphoricCatch5676 27d ago
His character lacked a lot of depth. Great performance but I donāt think his character was fleshed out enough to be Oscar worthy.
additionally, itās a comedy performance and itāll garner less respect just because of genre
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u/sortasorcha 26d ago edited 26d ago
I disagree, I think his dramatic situation is where all the depth lies! This hilarious, absurd, and tragic state of being a human guinea pig at peace with his fate. That's deeper and more resonant than a few oscar winning characters I can think of, add the range of an action packed clone and it's very good. Sure you have the flat silly details like the macaron business but there is also a lot of pathos, in the hazmat scene for instance.
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u/whitetark 27d ago
I don't think so, but I can see him securing nomination with Die, My Love this year
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u/Apexx166 27d ago
Zany sci fi film is never gonna get much love at the Oscars, so probably not. But it would be nice if it did.
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u/SniP3r_HavOK 27d ago
No.
I love him, heās my favourite actor currently working but this isnāt an Oscar nom performance. A role like the lighthouse is much more plausible but he didnāt even get anything for that š
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u/chas3edward5 27d ago
Micky 17 seemed well done to me
Micky 18 seemed too over the top in moments, and seemed too drastically different to be believable for me.
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u/dmichael8875 26d ago
Unlikely. He was quite good, but some of the other even more absurdist decisions in that movie, namely the Ruffalo and Colette characters performances, will likely detract from the ācredibilityā of the movie .. which was already in low regard from the Academy due to its fundamentally sci-fi origins.
So far of the movies Iāve seen this year Iād give more credence to Sonequa Martin Green and/or Natalie Morales getting a first nod from the Academy for My Dead Friend Zoe. Both great performances in a pretty interesting movie.
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u/blankupai 26d ago
definitely not. most of the subtlety of the performance is robbed by the absurd amount of internal monologue
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u/The_Untold_Legend 26d ago
The Oscars donāt have the brain capacity to remember a movie released in march
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u/Careless-Wrap6843 26d ago
My gut is saying it's too early and the films reviews aren't strong enough to be remembered much by December.
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u/yousippin 26d ago
This movie wont get recognized at the ceremonies. It came out way too early. Im sure the director and producers did so on purpose. He has his win. This was a fun side project not oscars fodder.
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u/MrManfredjensenden 26d ago
March movies almost never get remembered for Oscars. Place Beyond The Pines I think was the most disrespected March film that got not Oscar love. Such an underrated film.
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u/True-Mastodon7333 26d ago
Unfortunately, Oscar voters have recency bias. Itās too early in the year. If this had come out in October/November then it would be a different story. š„¹š„¹
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u/plasticbluepalm 26d ago
I doubt the movie will get any nominations at all, maybe vfx or scenography
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u/astralrig96 26d ago
thanks for spoiling the different characters xD
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u/Agreeable_Usual3735 25d ago
Depends on how the rest of the year goes, but the Academy is not typically favorable to comedic performances and they have infamously short memories
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u/kinobick 25d ago
I just came back from watching it tonight. He was incredibly good in it, the film just needed more focus on him, the story veered off too much in the second half. His voice and mannerisms were hilarious.
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u/Personal-Anxiety8029 25d ago
The movie would have to be somewhat good for the actor to get nominated. The last third of this movie was an absolute trainwreck.
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u/br0j4ngst3r 25d ago
not happening. rip that band-aid off sooner rather than later. itās an honorable mention at best, cuz heās deserving, but mickey 17 was guaranteed to get goose-egged even before the polarizing reviews
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u/Financial_Cry7167 25d ago
If it comes out before like August the academy usually forgets it exists
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u/Financial_Cry7167 25d ago edited 24d ago
Unfortunately the oscars are very tunnel visioned with recency bias. 9 of the 10 best picture nominees released in the last 5 months of 2024 (7 were in just the last 3 months). The only one that wasn't is dune 2, which significantly underperformed likely because of that recency bias. Because of this I doubt they'll acknowledge mickey 17 unfortunately
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u/amystake12 25d ago
I just looked into that the other day based on what others said and thatās just wild. Completely unprofessional to not give films throughout the whole year the same effort
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u/Quiet_Sorbet3393 25d ago
I think the performance is like Hit Man from Glen Powell. Itās just not the type of movie that gets awards.
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u/CaptRogersNbrhood 23d ago
If you want your film to have a chance at Oscars, donāt release in March.
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u/interstellaraz 21d ago
It'll be a tough category for 2026. I don't think he's getting a nod.
There's a Paul Anderson film coming out Leonardo DiCaprio, Benicio Del Toro and Sean Penn. Maybe Ed Harris for Long Day's Journey Into Night may get a Best Actor nomination. Marty Supreme with TimothƩe Chalamet. Darren Aronofsky's new film with Austin Butler... Bruce Springsteen's biopic with Jeremy Allen White. Collin Farrel has a couple of Oscar baits coming out as well. Blue Moon with Ethan Hawke is also getting high praise for his performance. Jesse Plemons in the new Yargos film....
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u/AneeshRai7 27d ago
Globes comedy maybe. Felt like such a wonderfully funny performance