r/investing • u/waitbutwhycc • 2d ago

Most Predictable Drop of All Time

I posted here right after the first crash in February “Don’t buy the dip, this is more 1929 vibes than 2001.” In response I got almost 100 replies telling me not to time the market, before it got removed by mods for being a “question” (it was not).

Literally all Trump is doing is exactly what he promised on the campaign. And virtually every economist knew it would cause a recession. Even after the crash yesterday he doubled down, saying he might add tariffs on semiconductors and pharmaceuticals too. He is simply trying to remove us from global markets, and it’s working!

Buy the dip once people start actually pushing back against Trump - no real reason to buy before that point.

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u/rabbit-guilliman 2d ago

Yes, but you'll see announcement of them scheduling a vote before they do it. The house passed rules that said they couldn't even debate a change to tariffs on Mexico and Canada https://www.msn.com/en-us/news/politics/congress-just-made-it-harder-for-congress-to-block-trumps-tariffs/ar-AA1AN9OX

So they have to undo that rule. Then schedule a vote. Then vote to overcome the tariffs with a two thirds "veto proof" majority which requires republicans to go against Trump. So I think the only one who can end the tariffs in the short term is Trump. And he is absolutely delusional right now.

So I think you're safe to short the market for awhile.

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u/Objective_Problem_90 1d ago

It's funny that others have follow laws and procedures to go after crappy presidential policy, but trump is just allowed to do whatever and violate court orders with z f's given.

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u/OlafTheDestroyer2 1d ago

He seems to be following das playbook.

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u/ushred 10h ago

he's following the shock therapy playbook from the soviet union ending. putin probably put it in his head as an opportunity to seize power like he did.

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u/OlafTheDestroyer2 10h ago

He’s following Hitler’s playbook, for turning a democracy into an autocracy, almost exactly.

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u/vaterl 3h ago

Trump may be doing a lot of batshit crazy things, but the playbook he is following is the law. Everything he’s doing in the executive branch was put in place long before him. If the government wanted to prevent this it would have been changed, but this is the power given to the executive branch by both other branches.

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u/trogdor1234 1d ago

They don’t have to undo that rule because Trump is a moron and put these tariffs under a completely new emergency declaration.

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u/OlafTheDestroyer2 2d ago

Agreed. I feel pretty safe, for now. I understand all of that, but I still think there is a breaking point.

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u/faptastrophe 1d ago

The breaking point is when Republicans start to believe they're going to lose power. That only happens when the apprentice dude's followers turn on him en masse. They're all trapped in a right wing media bubble so keep an eye on if fox news breaks with the administration.

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u/OlafTheDestroyer2 1d ago

That’s good advice. 30% of the country is a lost cause, but once people really start to feel the effects of these tariffs, I have a feeling that the other 70% will make it known how mad they are.. You can’t win elections with 30%, when the other 70% start participating.