r/wallstreetbets • u/superdookietoiletexp • Feb 02 '25
News “DeepSeek . . . reportedly has 50,000 Nvidia GPUs and spent $1.6 billion on buildouts”
https://www.tomshardware.com/tech-industry/artificial-intelligence/deepseek-might-not-be-as-disruptive-as-claimed-firm-reportedly-has-50-000-nvidia-gpus-and-spent-usd1-6-billion-on-buildouts“[I]ndustry analyst firm SemiAnalysis reports that the company behind DeepSeek incurred $1.6 billion in hardware costs and has a fleet of 50,000 Nvidia Hopper GPUs, a finding that undermines the idea that DeepSeek reinvented AI training and inference with dramatically lower investments than the leaders of the AI industry.”
I have no direct positions in NVIDIA but was hoping to buy a new GPU soon.
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u/LilEately Feb 02 '25
I've seen the future, whichever consumer model allows porn first is going to win.
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u/BranFendigaidd Feb 03 '25
Stable Diffusion has been creating Only Fans account for a long time now. 😂
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u/PM_ME_UR_THONG_N_ASS Feb 03 '25
But is it any good? Or do people still have 6 fingers and 8 toes?
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u/ZaeBae22 Feb 03 '25
My friend made 70k last year making an AI OF model...
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u/PM_ME_UR_THONG_N_ASS Feb 03 '25
I guess I’ll live up to my username and ask you for an image if you could PM me one. 😂
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u/kpidhayny Feb 03 '25
You know America is going down the tubes when this is the most authentic shit I’ve read in like 3 straight hours of doomscrolling
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u/SpareWalrus Feb 03 '25
The term doomscrolling hits so much harder right now...
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Feb 03 '25 edited Feb 04 '25
It’s actual doomscrolling 😂😂
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u/BeneficialHurry69 Feb 03 '25
Pics or it didn't happen
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u/LoathsomeNeanderthal Feb 03 '25
r/unstable_diffusion sort by top, if you are visually impaired you’re cooked
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Feb 03 '25 edited 21d ago
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u/Fritzschmied Feb 03 '25
That’s exactly how real students in that age group would use magic tbh.
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u/Kaito__1412 Feb 03 '25
Oh.... Shit. I didn't know Nvidia was worth this much. The stock is definitely undervalued.
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u/iwillforgetthisusern Feb 03 '25
How does that even work? Aren’t they livestreams?
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u/ZaeBae22 Feb 03 '25
No its literally just AI pics/vids of a "girl/model". Simply go on twitter and search AI girl you'll see accounts that do this shit that have thousands of followers. It's a real thing - the future is now old man people want to fuck fake AI girls than real girls invest now lol
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u/AW316 Feb 03 '25
Even when you tell them the girl isn’t real they still think she is. It would be hilarious if it wasn’t so sad.
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u/rkiive Feb 03 '25
Honestly the tech is getting good enough that unless you know what to look for you really will struggle to tell.
Any adult who didn’t grow up on the internet has zero chance.
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u/HeresiarchQin Feb 03 '25
Even knowing they are fake doesn't really impact their sexiness tbh. Humans have been whacking off to drawings and walls of texts which are both fake AF. The fantasizing part is what's most important when it comes to porn.
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u/rkiive Feb 03 '25
Yea exactly, that too.
Also the whole “if you can’t tell does it matter” situation.
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u/TurbulentCustomer Feb 03 '25
Still pictures especially. They’re basically perfect now. Video has improved an insane amount in even a month or two, it’ll be indistinguishable pretty soon.
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u/rkiive Feb 03 '25
Especially if they use an existing base video. Legitimately unless you recognise the original video you’re not gonna be able to notice
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u/realestatedeveloper Feb 03 '25
More like dudes who can’t get a woman in real life.
Which is a growing number of men…
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u/OccupyGanymede Feb 03 '25 edited Feb 03 '25
Not necessarily. You build up a following on Instagram with regular A.I images.
Then also link that to your OF. This gives paid subs probable naked images of your AI model. I say probable because I haven't subscribed to find out. You can make naked images using offline AI, such as Foosion. Cloud A.I services are subject to adult parental controls.
Some have over 1m subs and are created and run by small media companies.
You can make a live stream using Deep Live also. It's getting better now and may not be noticeable, that it is A.I.
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u/Arkansasmyundies Feb 03 '25
One guy I “knew” (from discord) would pay singaporean chicks to make real videos which he’d post. Then simps would pay to talk to and flirt with these “chicks” via whatsapp. But really these simps were talking to him. Occasionally the singapore ladies would make a new video. Whole thing is messed.
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u/noyart Feb 03 '25
Saw a documentary about something similar, but it was scammers. They hire beautiful girl, a model, from a poor country. I think in this video it was a beautiful girl from Russia. She makes takes some photos and make som small short videos to fish men to send money. If a person start to get suspicious they even recorded a small personal video or make a video call. Its fucked up
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u/Arkansasmyundies Feb 03 '25
Yeah you’d think guys would demand a video chat first if they had any brains, but then again, even with a video chat why would a dude send some random OF chick money? These simp regards belong here. They should blow their money on robinhood instead of OF
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u/noyart Feb 03 '25
I think its some kind of addiction, release of dopamine and adrenaline i guess. Like how many here can just keep throwing away money, gambling, alcohol etc. Its the same thing. Its easy to say just dont do it.
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u/Emergency-Walk-2991 Feb 03 '25
OF doesn't allow AI though, you have to use some weird off-brand website
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u/OccupyGanymede Feb 03 '25
Yes, I think that has changed, when I looked at it OF maybe have been not realised in the earlier days.
This is the AI influencer, although there are more that are more popular than this one now.
https://www.entrepreneur.com/business-news/this-ai-fitness-model-makes-11000-a-month/465975
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u/peeved-penguin Feb 03 '25
men be so thirsty they don't even know what they're looking at when they're feeling hornbag
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u/WyleECoyote77 Feb 03 '25
They've been putting fake tits on real women for years. Totally fake women was the next logical step.
Porn is the mother of invention.
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u/Archensix Feb 03 '25
The extra digits issue stopped being a problem a long long time ago
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u/stevenip Feb 03 '25
That meme will never die lol
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u/MarioLuigiDinoYoshi Feb 03 '25
It’s will when AI goes more mainstream. The average person doesn’t use AI LLMs or generate AI content.
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u/stevenip Feb 03 '25
I think people just like the idea of ai being easily distinguishable from real life, so they are hoping ai art will keep 6 fingers so they can always tell.
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u/Aerhyce Feb 03 '25
Also, the slop gets noticed immediately because competent AI that was also worked on afterwards is never identified as AI.
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u/ImUrFrand Feb 03 '25
most of them have moved over to flux, which is very good.
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u/PM_ME_UR_THONG_N_ASS Feb 03 '25
Anywhere you recommend I can see how much it has progressed?
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u/ImUrFrand Feb 03 '25
https://huggingface.co/spaces/black-forest-labs/FLUX.1-dev
this is the dev demo, as such it wont do nsfw, but there are sites that will.
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u/SnooPuppers3957 Feb 03 '25
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u/random_account6721 Feb 03 '25
there’s an emergency break glass switch on his desk
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u/Striking-Ad-6815 Feb 03 '25
Porn is the impetus for technological innovation
If I said something like, "The first person to carve stone, made tits." I would have a very good chance of being right without ever finding said legendary titty tablet.
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u/PM_ME_LANCECATAMARAN Feb 03 '25
It might have been booty back then instead but the concept is the same
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u/AtheIstan Feb 02 '25
Well not China then
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u/zSprawl Feb 02 '25
It’s open source though so someone will take it and remove the guardrails.
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u/Ginn_and_Juice Feb 02 '25
which you can do as we speak, because... It's fucking open source
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u/ACiD_80 Feb 03 '25
Thats his point yes
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u/AshySweatpants Feb 03 '25
I still don’t understand is it happening now as we speak or happening when someone removes the guardrails?
Is the AI in the room with us right now?
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u/Kursan_78 Feb 03 '25
You can run deep seek locally on your computer without internet access, it already happened
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u/StatusAnxiety6 Feb 03 '25
A lot of the image generating open source models were already trained with porn data to get human anatomy correct. So I imagine this is already being worked out. It is already having a negative impact of child sa related law enforcement ... https://www.iwf.org.uk/news-media/news/ai-generated-videos-of-child-sexual-abuse-a-stark-vision-of-the-future/
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u/thewongtrain Feb 03 '25
Serious question - why not let the pedos have their AI generated kiddie porn? Wouldn’t them blowing their load to virtual children just decrease their appetite to do the much harder thing of abusing actual children?
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u/StatusAnxiety6 Feb 03 '25
What I will say is the problem is recognizing real crimes vs generated images and how they slow down law enforcement in responding due to having to decide what is real and what is not.. if I understand the issue enough.
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u/extortioncontortion Feb 03 '25
Nothing will damage the market for real kiddy porn more than competing with it with AI imagery.
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u/N1nfang Feb 03 '25
Japan it is mybro
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u/Zaku_pilot_292 Feb 03 '25
PRC will designate a free economic zone to get those Western gooner dollars.
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u/LordDarthRasta Feb 02 '25
Sooooooooo calls on NVDA?
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u/drempaz Feb 03 '25
Tariffs
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u/birdlaw224 Feb 03 '25
Soooooooo puts on NVDA?
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Feb 03 '25
Tariffs
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u/ABadPhotoshop Feb 03 '25
Calls on tariffs?
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u/NastyAzzHoneybadger Feb 03 '25
Believe it or not…tariffs
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u/Nephroidofdoom Feb 03 '25 edited Feb 03 '25
We have the best memes, all thanks to tariffs.
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u/Ressy02 Feb 03 '25
Gonna have to find a way to put tariff on that
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u/flaming_pope Feb 03 '25
I’ll say one thing. This was true test of WSB stupidity.
If this was a trial run of fake narratives. It was an overwhelming success.
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u/LordDarthRasta Feb 03 '25
The tariff on Chips wont be signed until 18 Feb. Thats plenty of time for NVDA and TSMC to talk Trump out of tariffs.
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u/colbyshores Feb 03 '25
Conservative estimate is that it most likely Nvidia will use 18A for a portion of their chips for whatever is at capacity with TSMC
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u/StLuigi Feb 03 '25
Always has been. That dip was the most obvious time to buy in the past decade
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u/KRock1287 Feb 02 '25
Now if only the tariff talk wasn’t tanking the market ugh
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u/-medicalthrowaway- Feb 03 '25
It ain’t the talk anymore, brotha. The time to get puts was the talk. Now the tariffs are here and all calls and puts are fooked. Flat until eoy and they’ll even figure out a way to wreck iron condors
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u/KRock1287 Feb 03 '25
At least I’m sitting on shares and not options. Was a long long long term hold for me anyway
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u/-medicalthrowaway- Feb 03 '25
I went mostly cash a fews days ago in preparation
Now it’s just waiting to catch the falling knife and crying myself to sleep for not buying the SPY puts at noon on Friday that I’d planned on
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u/Laplandia Feb 02 '25
The original "research" is not really persuasive. There is a fact that High Flyer bought 10000 a100 gpus, but after that it's just
>"We believe they have access to around 50,000 Hopper GPUs",
>"We believe DeepSeek has access to around 10,000 of these H800s and about 10,000 H100s."
with no good sources.
A100 is ~$10000, so that would make a $100mln investment. But it was also used by both the hedge fund and Deep Seek.
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u/konga_gaming Feb 03 '25
Are people forgetting that Deepseek’s parent company is a massive trading firm that dedicates a vast majority of its compute capacity to machine learning/deep learning, i.e. the way it makes money?
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u/deezee72 Feb 03 '25
When we say a "massive" trading company: it's a fund with $7B in AUM, so probably getting ~$100M in management fees annually.
Claiming that they have $1.6B in infrastructure is not completely unbelievable, but it's definitely a big claim which should require solid evidence.
And no matter how you slice it, there's no way they have the kinds of resources that OpenAI has, given that OpenAI raised $7B in October and is reportedly raising another $40B. And that's not even starting on Google.
There's a lot of room to debate numbers, but no matter how you slice it, DeepSeek is the underdog in this story and it's impressive how much they've closed the gap relative to competitors with far more resources.
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u/satireplusplus Feb 03 '25
Even if you believe the numbers someone pulled out his ass, their cluster having 50000 GPUs and DeepSeek being trained on 2000 of them isn't mutually exclusive. That cluster was build to make a profit on the market, deepseek started out as a side project.
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u/finebushlane Feb 03 '25
Semianalysis is the most authoritative source on semiconductors in the world, they model the entire supply chain and track shipments and sales of enterprise hardware. They actually sell an enterprise data model for tracking AI accelerators and the supply chain.
All the guys that work there are ex Nvidia, Intel, guys, and they have staff based in China and Taiwan.
So if they say this is what most likely is the case, I'm strongly inclined to believe it. I would trust these guys over what fucking Bloomberg is saying, or any other mainstream outlet.
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u/Jandur Feb 03 '25
with no good sources.
They link to their accelerator model which has manufacturing and supply chain data that allows them to model who's buying GPUs.
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u/dipsy18 Feb 03 '25
Yes, the debate is the total cost to develop AI, the analysis dives into all the cost associated with developing models and AI and the "5 million training cost" is just 1 line item in a giant bill of materials. You should read the article cause it's very interesting and shows that the media and market reaction was way overblown
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u/Spampys626 Feb 03 '25
What do you expect?! No one read the fucking white paper that exactly explain how they were able to cut costs.
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Feb 03 '25 edited Feb 27 '25
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u/new_name_who_dis_ Feb 03 '25
My work had a meeting to discuss the paper so I had to read it. The training they do requires a pretrained foundation model. Which means that that’s not part of the cost they provided. That 6M cost was simply for the reasoning model which is sort of on top the foundation model. I think the cost was misconstrued by the journalists to think it was for training this model from scratch.
Note that what they did for 6M is still very impressive. Like ridiculously impressive.
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u/MillennialDeadbeat Feb 03 '25
And even you wildly misunderstand this because in their own whitepaper they specified the 5.5 million was for the FINAL TRAINING RUN ONLY.
They never specified how many training runs they had to do before they were ready for the final training run and they never specified the costs of the pre-emptive training runs.
Meaning their numbers could be total bullshit. It could have taken them 20 training runs before the final run and each run could have cost 10 million before they optimized for the final run. We simply don't know.
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u/mzinz Feb 03 '25
Meaning: training from V3 to R1, you mean? (I did read the paper)
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u/lalala253 Feb 02 '25
1.6 billions
So it's still cheaper than openai?
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u/thuglyfeyo Feb 02 '25
Yeah, so is a Prius compared to a Tesla
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u/SameCategory546 Feb 02 '25
it would be a lot more feasible in terms of cost and infrastructure to have everyone in the US drive a prius than a tesla.
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u/FUCKOFFGOOGLE- Feb 02 '25
So you’re saying that Deepseek is reliable and has longevity and OpenAI is flashy, cheaply made product run by an alien?
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u/Wowmuchrya Feb 02 '25
Honestly are some of you people actually braindead? DeepSeek leverages llama 2 and chatgpt.
It’s like saying Henry Ford was a dumbass for inventing the car when all he had to do was wait 100 years for Toyota to make theirs and he could make it for cheaper.
First mover always has the higher cost because they’re innovating. Nobody wants Temu ChatGPT.
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u/ghhfcbhhv Feb 03 '25
Henry Ford didn't invent the car he was the one that made them cheap
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u/Lagviper Feb 02 '25 edited Feb 02 '25
It costed $6M to train
$6M does not include the costs associated with prior research and ablation experiments on architectures, algorithms and data. On top of using American models to distill.
That's what the stupid media doing a hitpiece on US AI tech did not put in their details.
The founder of stability AI has been benching it for weeks now and while the Chinese team did do some neat tricks, its inefficient to have cost $6M for training
ByteDance the same day as media was in panic did better for lower cost. Nobody knows, nobody even talked about it.
And they all used Nvidia's own recommendations to program on datacenters. "OMG they don't need CUDA?!" Nvidia gave the fucking recipe on how.
https://docs.nvidia.com/cuda/parallel-thread-execution/
If Meta had not fired his best nerds to replace with AI maybe they could have figured out the documents that Nvidia made years ago.
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u/scrooopy Feb 02 '25
Was wondering how long I would have to scroll down for somebody to understand anything about LLMs 😂
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u/PutHisGlassesOn Feb 03 '25
I usually don’t find anyone who knows anything about LLMs before tapping out of these threads.
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u/shawnington Feb 03 '25
Then funniest part was when people were like OMG THEY BYPASSED CUDA NOBODY HAS TO USE NVIDIA ANYMORE... when in reality, they went straight hardware lock...
At least with Cuda C++ tools like Apples CoreML can translate many models to work on native Apple hardware without even using a translating layer once its been compiled, just auto ports the architecture and weights.
I wonder if Nvidia didn't put much effort in optimizing Cuda for the crippled export cards, and they needed to go straight PTE to get more performance from the cards.
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u/Poly_ptero_dactyl Feb 02 '25
LOL @ the people who were talking about NVDA tanking because they believed something out of China.
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u/rubbarz Feb 02 '25
Pretty much the marketing for any Chinese or Russian asset.
"Does way more and cost way less than what the US has."
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u/ACiD_80 Feb 03 '25
By stealing all the hard R&D
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u/Paddy_Tanninger Feb 03 '25
And starting whatever regarded astroturfing campaign I've been seeing on reddit along the lines of "looooool openai stoled all our data and then deepdick stole theirs cry more nerd hahah"
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u/thefpspower Feb 03 '25
Invoking laws of physics on software optimizations is pretty stupid, you're assuming we have the best solution to AGI already which is probably not the case.
Is Nvidia frame generation also violating physics?
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u/PassiveRoadRage Feb 02 '25
My guy it's down 18 bucks or 13% over the past month lol.
Yeah... laugh at the people who thought it would go down.
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u/MyDogIsACoolCat Feb 02 '25
This is when you realize a lot of people who are vested in the market have 0 idea wtf they’re talking about. It was pretty clear they were running on Nvidia GPUs. I can maybe see why other AI stocks were falling, but Nvidia falling made absolutely no sense.
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u/palabamyo Feb 03 '25
If I know one thing for sure it's that every time I think I might be able to buy a Graphics Card the timeline shifts and I end up in the universe where they stay expensive, no matter what.
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u/DaBombDiggidy Feb 03 '25
And Singapore just happened to become 22% of Nvidia's revenue in the past 2 years for totally legit reasons.
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u/Vinterlerke Feb 03 '25
It is mostly an accounting quirk. Here's a statement from NVIDIA itself:
However, the company clarifies that most transactions with Singapore involve shipments sent elsewhere, not China. Nvidia reports sales based on 'bill to' locations, which do not always reflect where the products are ultimately used.
"The revenue associated with Singapore does not indicate diversion to China," a statement by Nvidia reads. "Our public filings report 'bill to' not 'ship to' locations of our customers. Many of our customers have business entities in Singapore and use those entities for products destined for the U.S. and the West. We insist that our partners comply with all applicable laws, and if we receive any information to the contrary, act accordingly."
Singapore also has a lot of data centers, and their DC customers include AWS, Microsoft Azure, IBM Softlayer, Google Cloud, etc.
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u/ImUrFrand Feb 03 '25 edited Feb 03 '25
a tomshardware article covering another article with speculation as it's base source.
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u/Mister_Sins Feb 02 '25
I think Nvidia will bounce back sooner than later also $NBIS will go up in the future. They're a cloud server for AI and apparently very well
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u/st0350 Feb 02 '25
Don't think anyone is surprised that info from china was a lying sack of shit
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u/SameCategory546 Feb 02 '25
it wasn’t a lie. Just everyone was hyperfocused on certain numbers rather than the whole cost and what was involved
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u/Rupperrt Feb 02 '25
They didn’t lie though. It’s public in their papers that the 5 million was the training budget not the infrastructure budget. They’re far more transparent than OpenAI
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u/btsrn Feb 02 '25
This. Apparently they’re also cheaper for training than Meta, which’s the only other player that has transparency re:costs.
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u/CarasBridge Feb 02 '25
what? they never lied, this was public information the whole time lol
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u/metaliving Feb 02 '25
They said training costs were $6M, which they were. Their infrastructure cost is not their training costs. You misunderstanding what they said doesn't make them liars.
This is like me saying "hey, I just had my house professionally cleaned for $500" and you saying "look at this lying sack of shit, saying his house cost $500".
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u/gkdlswm5 Feb 03 '25
Americans need to really focus on education, reading comprehension really lacking
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u/not_creative1 Feb 02 '25
And deepseek was built by a quant firm. They probably made way more than $1.6 billion from that one market drop last week.
May be this was the greatest market manipulation of all time
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u/Content-Horse-9425 Feb 02 '25
Did you even read the article before reflexively posting something anti-China? Honestly, the western world isn’t doing so well right now so maybe hold on to your stones in your glass house.
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u/Shinne Feb 02 '25 edited Feb 02 '25
If you were on Reddit they were claiming china superior and American greed. Never mind china is lying shit of sack
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u/VitaminDismyPCT Feb 02 '25
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u/Pocky_1 Feb 02 '25
I am surprised it actually gave an answer instead of refusing to respond lol
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u/VitaminDismyPCT Feb 03 '25
I’m just surprised at how aggressive the response was. Wasn’t even subtle just straight up mad I even said that.
Also it saying “WE resolutely oppose” like deepseek is the Chinese government was interesting
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u/Chrmdthm Feb 03 '25
I know this is WSB but were you surprised that a service from a Chinese company has to follow Chinese law?
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u/levu12 Feb 02 '25
Can we stop posting the same quote from the Outlier AI CEO? He doesn’t know what he’s talking about. The Hopper chips are the gimped H200s and so fully compliant with export regulations, not H100s. The training cost of 5.5m is not outlandish and is plausible.
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u/levu12 Feb 02 '25
It’s literally in the paper that it cost 5.5m to train and that they used H200s, maybe if people could stop reading past headlines and use their brain they could realize that the ones lying to them are not Deepseek.
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u/wasifaiboply Feb 02 '25
I guarantee none of you even read the article. Even if you did I bet 80% of you wouldn't even understand what you read.
But get this straight regards. DeepSeek doesn't need anymore $NVDA GPUs to do what it is doing today. No more money will line Huang and America's pockets for this product to flourish and grow.
It doesn't matter. You're all looking for confirmation of your bias and that's easy to find. Please keep in the back of your mind this very simple fact however -
A LOT of VERY RICH AMERICANS are HIGHLY LEVERAGED in $NVDA right now. I'll let you determine what that means for any motivation that might exist to continue retail's bagholding dip buying.
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u/firecorn22 Feb 03 '25
_DeepSeek doesn't need anymore $NVDA GPUs to do what it is doing today
The important part is "what it's doing today", if they want to improve adding more GPU is still a good strategy. Also but way less important gpus have a lifecycle so replacement will be necessary
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u/cryptoislife_k Feb 02 '25
that was some legendary hedge fund manipulation
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u/New_Caterpillar6384 Feb 03 '25
thats what I said. SEC will just let it slide again except this time its FBI
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u/cryptoislife_k Feb 03 '25
what they want to do? they have no jurisdiction in China
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u/KanyinLIVE Feb 03 '25
Said this last week. High Flyer has a $2b lab. High Flyer owns DeepSeek. It was fucking simple to figure this out. So the media lied to everyone and tanked NVDA to buy it all up before earnings. Like usual.
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u/Sean_VasDeferens Feb 02 '25
This assumes that 100% of the GPUs in China we given to one person.
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u/I_am_Hecarim Feb 02 '25
No, this assumes that hopper chips means any of the h line chips (it does) and not only the most recent h100
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u/quadratic_function Feb 02 '25
Bought at the bottom of the dip, market open is going to be gold
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u/Marko-2091 Feb 02 '25
Still. The price seems to be significantly lower than Open AI
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u/flat5 Feb 02 '25
OK but THEN it only cost $300. Not counting power, or engineers, or sysadmins, or cooling.
Actually $300 was the cost of the domain name for the download.
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Feb 03 '25
Brother…. So was the first news about DeepSeek market manipulation or is it this article?
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u/Misher7 Feb 02 '25
Tariffs going up on Taiwan anyway. That won’t be good for Nvidia.
Jensen also didn’t kiss the ring. That will be remembered by he who cannot be named.
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u/PleaseNotMeh Feb 02 '25
This is a credible source? lol
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u/New_Caterpillar6384 Feb 03 '25
don believe anyone just take 2 sec and read Deepseek's own paper. 6 mil for final traing round
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u/Otherwise_Presence33 Feb 03 '25
Yo deepseeks R1 is insane. Reading how it breaks down problems is nuts to me. I could have never imagined this being a thing when I was a kid. And I’m only 30. I used all three major AI’s to debug some code and R1 blew both out of the water by a LONG SHOT
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u/VisualMod GPT-REEEE Feb 02 '25
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