r/investing • u/waitbutwhycc • 2d ago

Most Predictable Drop of All Time

I posted here right after the first crash in February “Don’t buy the dip, this is more 1929 vibes than 2001.” In response I got almost 100 replies telling me not to time the market, before it got removed by mods for being a “question” (it was not).

Literally all Trump is doing is exactly what he promised on the campaign. And virtually every economist knew it would cause a recession. Even after the crash yesterday he doubled down, saying he might add tariffs on semiconductors and pharmaceuticals too. He is simply trying to remove us from global markets, and it’s working!

Buy the dip once people start actually pushing back against Trump - no real reason to buy before that point.

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u/logisticalgummy 2d ago

You should go all in on some shorts. You could be a very rich man very quickly especially since you seem to know what’s coming next in the market.

15

u/throwaway92715 2d ago

Yeah seriously, where are the puts? Show me your puts, OP!

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u/oravecz 2d ago

I wish I knew how to do a put. This was predictable. I sold to cash and will use some crypto losses to reduce the tax hit. This is far from an emotional move for me. It is logical that the Trump Tax will have a negative impact on the market. I took steps to capitalize. I’m rebuying on the way down. I bought back 15% yesterday and I’ll buy back 15% more today. No one knows where the bottom will be, but I’ve objectively improved my holdings since Feb 4.

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u/ChaseballBat 2d ago

I literally taught myself at the beginning of March. I had to wait a week to get approval too. I barely was able to take advatange of this idiots economic policies.

Obviously I sold every way before options were available too. Even without my gains I have saved my personal account ($140k) around $20-25K in losses which is nothing to complain about in an of itself.

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u/BosJC 2d ago

I’ve been saying the same thing and probably commented in agreement on OP’s post.

I bought an SPY put on Mar 14 that’s currently up over 600%.

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u/logisticalgummy 2d ago

Good! I also have some puts since I knew there was going to be some volatility ahead. But I’m not a clairvoyant. I have some as part of my strategy for risk mitigation. I would not go out and say I knew market was going to go down.

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u/BosJC 2d ago

That’s fair, mine are also for risk hedging. Seemed prudent when vol was (relatively) low.

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u/ChaseballBat 2d ago

Cope "throwaway92715"...