r/investing • u/waitbutwhycc • 2d ago

Most Predictable Drop of All Time

I posted here right after the first crash in February “Don’t buy the dip, this is more 1929 vibes than 2001.” In response I got almost 100 replies telling me not to time the market, before it got removed by mods for being a “question” (it was not).

Literally all Trump is doing is exactly what he promised on the campaign. And virtually every economist knew it would cause a recession. Even after the crash yesterday he doubled down, saying he might add tariffs on semiconductors and pharmaceuticals too. He is simply trying to remove us from global markets, and it’s working!

Buy the dip once people start actually pushing back against Trump - no real reason to buy before that point.

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445

u/logisticalgummy 2d ago

You should go all in on some shorts. You could be a very rich man very quickly especially since you seem to know what’s coming next in the market.

132

u/Carbon-Base 2d ago

I'm surprised he didn't load up on puts and post his gains.

3

u/ChaseballBat 2d ago

Some people do not know how to do options. I had to wait a week for approval. Literally learned them for the sole purpose of Trump's tariff policy.

1

u/Carbon-Base 2d ago

Hope they went well for you!

1

u/ChaseballBat 2d ago

Yes sir. Got many expiring today. I got burned a few times trying to figure it out, but it was minimal losses.

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u/Carbon-Base 2d ago

Yeah, it's a little tricky to understand at first, but very viable once you get the hang of it.

I've got some CSPs expiring today as well!

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u/ChaseballBat 2d ago

Yup. I probably wont mess around with it much unless Trump signals more very obvious bad policy. I bought some puts out in May, Sept, and Oct too. Only a couple so if they come to fruition, great. If not no real loss. Essentially they are "Trump literally destroyed America and I need this money to make sure my extended family does not become homeless".

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u/Carbon-Base 2d ago

I gotcha. But you gotta remember if he goes that far, there's a very real chance money becomes the very least of our concerns, especially if the dollar is devalued.

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u/ChaseballBat 2d ago

Lol I totally get ya, I have thought about that as well.

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u/terminallyonlineweeb 2d ago

I should learn. I just moved half my money to sgov instead (401k is stuck in a tdf). But at the very least I didn’t drop too much. Hearing some people are down 30% YTD is yikes.

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u/ChaseballBat 2d ago

Yea if you owned individual stocks you got fucked.

I does make me sick thinking about all those who got absolutely shafted by this policy. I tried to tell my parents to move more money into bonds to limit their risk.

Luckily they are like 5 years away from retirement so... hopefully this recovers by then.