Not to be a doomsayer, but with rising inflation (again) due to tariffs, probable layoffs due to reduced demand on american goods due to tariffs and combine that with high interest to fight the self-induced inflation, people will default, a lot. Even domesctically produced goods will be hit with inflation due to potash tariffs.
I’m seeing in my unqualified crystal ball, a depression happening.
It's not a computer you just restart and it works different. You have to actually have a coherent theory of macroeconomics that is supported by evidence in order to make good policy.
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u/spookyswagg 1d ago
Ya, but inflation was at 2% then.
Inflation is predicted to rise this year, 4%, next year by >4%
Rate cuts now would just make that way worse…