1

Future in a PhD: best path forward
 in  r/academiceconomics  5d ago

I appreciate the advice. Thanks for commenting 🧘‍♂️

2

Future in a PhD: best path forward
 in  r/academiceconomics  5d ago

Thank you! I feel disillusioned by some of the rhetoric on this sub about undergrad institution prestige; my school will not generate any LORs on the level of other institutions. That’s why I asked, because I don’t know how much more work I need to do to try to fill that gap

r/academiceconomics 5d ago

Future in a PhD: best path forward

3 Upvotes

Hi. I’m a junior at an unranked (maybe T200?) undergraduate program in the US, double major in Quantitative Economics and Mathematics, while doing an MS in Applied Econometrics (it’s a combined program, I’ll have earned all three degrees in a total of 9 semesters.)

  • Courses in math: calc 1-3, diffeq, discrete math, mathematical proofs, real analysis, Fourier analysis, graph theory, linear algebra (computational + proof-based), probability theory 1 and 2, and computational statistics.

  • Grad economics courses: econometrics 1 and 2, time series econometrics, econometric forecasting, graduate micro + macro, and some electives.

  • 3.9 GPA in math, 3.96 GPA in economics

  • Research: Presented my time series trade paper at a national economics conference (to preserve anonymity I will refrain from commenting on which one.) I also wrote a couple neat papers on Erdos-Straus conjecture and pentagonal plane tiling. I have a spectral analysis paper in the works.

  • Federal Reserve macroeconomics research internship

  • Critical Language Scholarship 2024 (unrelated to economics but a perhaps unique motivator for my empirical interest in trade/macro)

The undergraduate research prestige is unfortunate. Please comment on where I currently have realistic chances of admission, and appropriate steps to find myself at a more prestigious PhD.

1

What is the point of multivariable calculus and linear algebra?
 in  r/econometrics  5d ago

Yes multivariate functions require more care to find optimal levels, with a bit more inference involved (saddle points, local min, etc). It’s not that difficult, though, and micro applications are typically easier than calc 3 problems (You will end up feeling very comfortable solving Lagrangians. Just look up Lagrangians and Hessian determinants)

2

NEED HELP IN FORECASTING
 in  r/academiceconomics  Dec 10 '24

Hi, good question! It extremely depends on the nature of the data you’re analyzing. I suggest taking a time-series econometrics/forecasting class. The underlying statistical process which is generating your data is of utmost concern when choosing how to forecast- look at autocorellograms and partial autocorrelograms to try to make a guess. The industry standard is to use ARIMA() function, or autoregressive/moving average (typically we can ignore I(0) or I(1) trends, although this also depends on which type of forecast we’re doing.) Ljung-Box tests (Box.test(x, lag = k, type = c(“Ljung-Box”)) in R.) You must also choose your loss function. A good place to start is quadratic/absolute value (symmetric) loss, where your point forecast is very very simply the expected value of the next period (E(u(t+1)|I) with “I” being your information set. While this is the most mathematically tractable, it will take some careful consideration to decide on your loss function (basically, how are positive/negative errors weighted?) A few other loss functions to look into are LinLin and LogLin. Finally, you must construct a density forecast to be able to make probability statements.

If all of this is essentially meaningless jargon to you, I understand…. I was there too. Much of this you would fine at any university’s forecasting lectures, so my main advice is to take a class. If you want serious hands-on help, PM me.

2

New C. Versicolor, birthday present from girlfriend. 🕷️
 in  r/tarantulas  Oct 26 '24

Cute!! Right now I am thinking Newt (as in the little girl from Aliens (1981)). I have an A. Seemanni named Ripley who’s about 1 inch longer than the new versicolor, so it kinda fits lol

1

New C. Versicolor, birthday present from girlfriend. 🕷️
 in  r/tarantulas  Oct 26 '24

Awesome. This one is about 1.5”, the website she bought her off had a big sale on well-started juveniles.

3

New C. Versicolor, birthday present from girlfriend. 🕷️
 in  r/tarantulas  Oct 26 '24

That was my first thought too 😄🖤

r/tarantulas Oct 26 '24

Pictures New C. Versicolor, birthday present from girlfriend. 🕷️

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372 Upvotes

-9

h
 in  r/CommunismMemes  Apr 09 '21

nooooooo not Bennett_10 😕

-15

h
 in  r/CommunismMemes  Apr 09 '21

nah pov you are white

0

h
 in  r/CommunismMemes  Apr 09 '21

white