r/investing • u/waitbutwhycc • 2d ago

Most Predictable Drop of All Time

I posted here right after the first crash in February “Don’t buy the dip, this is more 1929 vibes than 2001.” In response I got almost 100 replies telling me not to time the market, before it got removed by mods for being a “question” (it was not).

Literally all Trump is doing is exactly what he promised on the campaign. And virtually every economist knew it would cause a recession. Even after the crash yesterday he doubled down, saying he might add tariffs on semiconductors and pharmaceuticals too. He is simply trying to remove us from global markets, and it’s working!

Buy the dip once people start actually pushing back against Trump - no real reason to buy before that point.

2.7k Upvotes

90% Upvoted

614 comments sorted by

View all comments

Show parent comments

142

u/Cautious_optimism09 2d ago

My personal favorite part of this is as of 12:00 central were at a 13% drop without any bad economic news like negative GDP or inflation reports once stuff sets in. Gonna be a fun ride down 🥳

44

u/OlafTheDestroyer2 2d ago

I moved my 401k into bonds a couple months ago and I’ve been shorting the market (and TSLA) for a month now. I’m going to keep shorting it, but I’m only playing with gains. If these tariffs stay in place we are headed way lower, but at a certain point, there’s a fairly high chance that Congress steps in to stop the tariffs. If that happens, I don’t want to get caught with my pants down.

3

u/toywatch 2d ago

I had them in bonds but now i am worried that the stagflation would offset rate cut expectation, while spread would get insanely high and ratings get notched down. Anyhow bond will do relatively better than stocks

7

u/OlafTheDestroyer2 2d ago

I’ve got those fears as well. I’m not smart enough to know what I should really be doing with my money, but as of now, I’m only down about 0.25% over the last couple months, and I’m pretty happy with my move.

1

u/seriously2017 7h ago

My 401k took a 20% hit. I am not an investor. just 10-15 out from “retirement.” I know nothing and sadly feel my only option is to do nothing. I agree with others that this is not the bottom. Lots of reasons there is much more pain to come. I moved more into cash and some US into EU stocks. No idea what may come, but certainly can’t put it into cash. That seems dumb