adp non-farm report just came out. Much higher non-farm employment than predicted. We are screwed in term of rate cut. High unemployment and high core inflation gave jpowell easy excuse for pause rate and wait and see.
We'll see what actually happens.
I mean... they printed money when COVID hit to keep the US spending.
If this sell off starts triggering massive buying of off shore stocks due to unease in US stocks... they gotta do something to keep investors in US stocks.
Not to be a doomsayer, but with rising inflation (again) due to tariffs, probable layoffs due to reduced demand on american goods due to tariffs and combine that with high interest to fight the self-induced inflation, people will default, a lot. Even domesctically produced goods will be hit with inflation due to potash tariffs.
I’m seeing in my unqualified crystal ball, a depression happening.
That was nearly 20 years ago. There is no hard rebooting the economy. The entire economy is based around the federal government propping up loser businesses and insanely useless tech enterprises. There is no rebuilding this house of cards.
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u/DPMKIV 1d ago
It's called a FED bailout...
It theoretically should ease the free fall to prevent an all-out crash.